- The Chicago Bulls and Miami Heat will face off for the fourth time this year, this time with a playoff berth on the line.
- The Bulls have won all three matchups vs the Heat this year, but are now underdogs by five and a half points.
- The total of 209.0 has gone over or pushed in every matchup throughout the year and in the vast majority of their recent games since 2021
MIAMI – The Miami Heat and Chicago Bulls are fresh off losses in their respective first round play-in tournament games and will now face each other with the winner taking the final seed in the NBA playoffs. During the regular season, the Bulls pulled out three straight wins and will look for the season sweep of the Heat this time around.
Despite the history, legal sportsbooks have listed the Heat as the -220 odds-on-favorites. In addition to possible value being had in the Bulls, many player props have solid odds that can bring in profit for NBA fans.
Chicago Bulls @ Miami Heat Odds
- Money Line: Bulls (+180) vs Heat (-220)
- Spread: Heat -5.5
- Total: 209.0
Heat Favored for Fourth Straight Time Despite Results
Curiously, the Heat are favored by the second most points on the year against the Bulls, despite them losing all three of the last games. This should signify that either the money line of +180 or the spread of +5.5 are some attractive options to keep in line with recent history.
The total of 209.0 also appears to be a pretty good NBA bet, as all games this year exceeded this mark by at least three points and as high as 15. In fact, since 2021 these two teams have only gone under this total in one out of the last 10 games, including nine consecutive games of covering the over.
This likely makes betting the over the top prop available, as it has consistently applied and there is little reason to believe that this will change given how badly both of these teams want to secure their playoff berth.
DeRozan Dominates Heat: Features Prop Value
Among the top props available is DeMar DeRozan’s various stats, mainly for points. In all three matchups this year, DeRozan managed to gash the Heat for 24+ points in each, including a massive 37-point outing in their first bout. At -120 odds for DeRozan to log over 21.5 points, the Bulls star should look to score often and early as the Bulls chase the coveted final playoff spot.
Another interesting prop for DeRozan is his rebounds plus assists line of at least 11, which features EVEN odds on legal sportsbooks. Against the Heat this year, DeRozan has finished with totals of 15,10, and 15 and has mainly been led by his impressive playmaking in that stretch.
Overall, while Miami is the favorited team ahead of Friday’s tipoff, the history both by players and the teams point to the Bulls being a great squad to bet on in all aspects. For those more skittish on the idea of only taking the Bulls, the over on the total of 209.0 also has an incredible track record that could very well continue and cash in on the -110 odds.
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News tags: Chicago Bulls | DeMar DeRozan | Miami Heat | NBA | NBA Play-In Tournament | NBA Playoffs
Jeremias is a current Florida State University student majoring in Editing, Writing and Media as well as Media/Communication studies. Primarily focused on the NFL, NBA, and NHL, Jeremias has a passion for sports statistics research that helps bettors find the blind spots in sportsbooks.