ACC Championship Betting Preview: Clemson Vs. SMU

SMU’s odds are favored by 2 points over Clemson.
Clemson opened as a 2.5-point favorite to win the ACC title.

CHARLOTTE, N.C. – In their first season in the ACC and their first time considered a Power 4 team, SMU finds themselves in the ACC Championship against Clemson.

𝗜𝗧 𝗔𝗟𝗟 𝗖𝗢𝗠𝗘𝗦 𝗗𝗢𝗪𝗡 𝗧𝗢 𝗧𝗛𝗜𝗦.

🏆 https://t.co/iJOz8a2wzk
🎟️ https://t.co/w3L4mErjRQ pic.twitter.com/EQm1jo3xyf

— ACC Football (@ACCFootball) December 1, 2024

Legal sports betting sites have even gone as far as listing SMU as slight favorites to beat Clemson and win their first ever conference championship in their inaugural season. This also marks the first ever time that these two programs will meet.

SMU Vs. Clemson

Moneyline: Clemson (+105) vs. SMU (-125)
Spread: SMU -2
Total: 56 Points

Season Betting Trends

SMU and Clemson are sitting on opposite ends of the conference when it comes to playing against the spread. SMU had an impressive season at 8-4 with a nice +5.6 cover margin and a massive 19.4-point winning margin. Clemson, on the other hand, went 5-7 against the spread with a -1.3 cover margin but a 14.1 winning margin. On the point total, SMU went 7-5 Over/Under in points while Clemson went 5-7.

When college football betting sites listed SMU as a favorite this season, they went 6-4 against the spread with a +2.8 cover margin and a huge 20.2 winning margin. On the other side, for Clemson, they’ve only been an underdog once this season against Georgia in the first game of the year and did not cover.

Regular Season Stats

Bettors can see why the spread is set so close in this one as they are very evenly matched. Offensively, they are both in the top-4 of the conference in terms of points per game with SMU at 39.2 and Clemson at 35.7. On defense, they are neck and neck. SMU leads the ACC in points allowed per game at 19.8 ppg while Clemson is right behind them at 21.6 points allowed to opponents.

Early Line Movement

The line movement has been incredible in the early going. Sportsbooks originally opened this line with Clemson as a 2.5-point favorite. That line quickly flipped in favor of SMU. First, it flipped to SMU -1.5, then went up to -2.5, and now settled at -2.

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Sam Profeta

Samuel has been writing professionally for 4 years. He comes from a sports writing background where he enjoys writing mostly about basketball and football both professional and collegiate. He is a recent graduate of Florida State University where he majored in Editing, Writing and Media with a minor in Communications. During his free time, you can find him watching or playing sports as well as playing videogames and listening to music.