- Based on his rankings in course fit and recent play stats, Akshay Bhatia, with +2200 odds, is the best bet to win the Valero Texas Open.
SAN ANTONIO – Akshay Bhatia is the best bet to win at the Valero Texas Open based on his course fit and recent play. Bhatia is the reigning Valero Texas Open winner and has +2200 odds to repeat this weekend.
- Ludvig Aberg +1200
- Corey Conners +1600
- Tommy Fleetwood +1600
- Patrick Cantlay +1800
- Hideki Matsuyama +2000
- Jordan Spieth +2000
- Akshay Bhatia +2200
- Daniel Berger +2800
- Keegan Bradley +2800
- Denny McCarthy +3000
Bet on Akshay Bhatia to Win the Valero Texas Open
Akshay Bhatia is the reigning champion at TPC San Antonio and has had three top finishes in his last four tournaments. Despite that strong resume, legal sports betting sites do not have him among the five golfers with the shortest odds at the tournament.
That may be a mistake that bettors can cash in on, as Bhatia is the only golfer to rank inside the top ten of PGA Tour’s current form and course fit statistics.
Using those two statistics to project who will win the Valero Texas Open is a good idea because they show who is playing well (average total strokes gained in their last five events) and who has the all-around golf game that translates well to TPC San Antonio.
The ten golfers with the best average rankings in both of those statistical categories this week are listed below.
Note: Odds in the table below are from Bovada, which is one of the top sports betting sites in Texas (where the tournament is held) and many other states throughout the country.
| Golfer | Course Fit Ranking | Recent Play Ranking | Average Ranking | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akshay Bhatia | 6 | 5 | 5.5 | +2200 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 16 | 3 | 9.5 | +1600 |
| Denny McCarthy | 14 | 6 | 10 | +3000 |
| Ryan Gerard | 5 | 16 | 10.5 | +6500 |
| Alex Smalley | 19 | 9 | 14 | +7000 |
| Daniel Berger | 28 | 1 | 14.5 | +2800 |
| Ben Griffin | 2 | 28 | 15 | +5000 |
| Ludvig Aberg | 10 | 20 | 15 | +1200 |
| Patrick Cantlay | 25 | 8 | 16.5 | +1800 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 6 | 29 | 17.5 | +2000 |
Given his pedigree at the event, corresponding strong course fit statistics, recent play, and odds at PGA Tour betting sites, Akshay Bhatia is the best bet to win the 2025 Valero Houston Open at +2200.
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News tags: Akshay Bhatia | Alex Smalley | Ben Griffin | Daniel Berger | Denny McCarthy | golf | Hideki Matsuyama | Houston | Ludvig Aberg | Patrick Cantlay | PGA Tour | Ryan Gerard | Texas | Tommy Fleetwood | Valero Texas Open
Brett is a passionate sports writer who majored in Sport Management at Florida State University. He combines his knowledge of stats with his understanding of game theory to find the best values when sports betting. Brett enjoys golfing, playing cornhole, and hanging out by the pool when he’s not locked in watching games.
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