Alabama Crimson Tide vs Wisconsin Badgers

  • The Alabama Crimson Tide are projected to score 33.5 points, though shading is on the under.
  • With Wisconsin’s history of defensive ability, taking them to cover the spread (+16.5) is a smart idea.
  • Bettors can find even more value in taking alternate lines (no team scores 30 / a small Bama win margin) instead.

MADISON, Wisc.Wisconsin finds themself in an unfamiliar situation – as 2 TD+ underdogs at home. This is the fifth time they’ve been a home dog of at least 10 since 1997 and only the seventh time of at least a touchdown in the same span.

Still, the Badgers were in this setup last year versus Ohio State where they covered the +14.5 by the hook.

Overall, Wisconsin is dominant as large home dogs, going 6-1 ATS, covering the last six.

While they allowed Ohio State to score points in every quarter, they managed to hold them to only one scoring possession each quarter. Despite this, the legal college football betting sites seem to be counting out the home team.

Smart money is on neither team to score 30 points (+150). Add in the fact that Luke Fickell has only seen two opponents score 30+ on him (16 games) to Wisconsin being a major dog and neither team getting there is plausible.

Sportsbooks with Jalen Milroe prop bets may be overshooting his numbers slightly after scoring 63 and 42 in the first two games for the Tide.

This will be Alabama’s first time being a 10-point+ road favorite outside of the SEC since the Texas win in 2022 to start the year (W, 20-19). In the SEC, it’s a different story, having gone 28-2 straight up but only 15-15 against the spread.

Odds On Jalen Milroe Passing TDs

  • Over 1.5 -132
  • Under 1.5 +102

Expected to rush for another 46.5 yards, Milroe is the difference maker in the game and odds board. Also, the favorite to score a touchdown (-176) and favorite to be the first TD scorer (+475), covering and winning will all come down to Milroe.

Jalen Milroe Passing Props: Yards Vs Wisconsin

  • Over 219.5 -119
  • Under 219.5 -109

BAMA is projected to score 33.5 points at legal sports betting sites, but there is heavy shading (-125) on the under.

With the strength of Wisconsin’s defense being in their secondary (Hunter Wohler and Ricardo Hallman), another Alabama football prop to consider is a smaller winning margin than the Bama spread is vs Wisconsin.

BAMA v Wisconsin Football: Winning Margin

  • Alabama by 1-6 points +550
  • Wisconsin by 1-6 points +900
  • Alabama by 7-12 points +500
  • Wisconsin by 7-12 points +2000
  • Alabama by 13-18 points +400

Even taking two bets (Alabama to win by 1-6 AND to win by 7-12) comes with over 4 units of profit after paying out the losing wager, should Wisconsin keep it close.

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