Sam Darnold - Joe Flacco

  • The Minnesota Vikings are four-point home favorites against the Indianapolis Colts for Sunday Night Football
  • Trends point to betting on the under for SNF based on familiar betting lines and past results.

MINNEAPOLIS – On Sunday Night Football, the Indianapolis Colts travel to Minnesota to take on the Vikings. The teams have only played a few times the last decade (2016, 2020, 2022) but for reference, the Colts have dominated (6-1 SU and ATS).

For this game, the Vikings are four point favorites, with an over under at legal sports betting sites set at 47 points.

Taking the moneyline (+210 for the Colts, -250 for the Vikings) could be a way to bet SNF but the under seems to have many trends behind it.

Betting The Under

This matchup has seen five of the last seven games hit the under (despite them dating back a while). But we can look more at recent games that still support the under.

In both games that the Colts played the NFC North this year, the under hit.

  • Beat Bears 21-16 in Indy.
  • Lost to Packers 16-10 on the road.

These games had over unders of 41.5 and 43.5 points, slightly lower than the current total for Sunday Night Football.

A familiar position as well, this will be the fourth game this year that NFL sportsbooks set the Colts as road underdog of 2-5 points. Covering the spread in all 3, two of the games went under as well.

As for Minnesota, they’ve had a small intro to games against the AFC South, beating Houston 34-7 this year (with the under 46.5 points hitting).

Dating back for the Vikings, when they are home favorites of 4 or more, they failed to cover the spread in nine of 10 games dating back to late December 2019. But this points more to being a Kirk Cousins trend than the Vikings themselves.

Colts Vikings Player Props

  • Bet Sam Darnold Under 1.5 Passing TDs (-136): After throwing for 2+ touchdowns in the first four games of the year, Darnold has done so only once in his last three games.
  • Bet Joe Flacco Under 23.5 Completions (-110): There’s no doubt Flacco is a gunslinger, attempting 38 and 44 passes in his last two starts. But, the Vikings are in the top third of rushing plays attempted vs passing plays attempted (46.60%).

Also, expect a few players to get in the endzone. While underdogs and longshots could also hit, Bovada and other sportsbooks have those odds listed. For the favorites, here’s who could score a touchdown in Sunday Night Football.

Players Favored To Score A Touchdown

  • Aaron Jones -143
  • Justin Jefferson -125
  • Jonathan Taylor -125
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