Best Fantasy Football Value Picks Based on Betting Odds Vs ADP Comparison

DeVonta Smith is the best fantasy receiver value pick based on his regular season yards and touchdowns compared to his ranking.
Smith is ranked as the WR21 but projects for 1,050 receiving yards and 6.5 touchdowns, the same or better projections as WR9 Chris Olave and WR10 Davante Adams.
Jaylen Waddle (WR23) is in a similar position as Smith with betting projections that don’t match their fantasy football rankings.

PHILADELPHIA – DeVonta Smith of the Philadelphia Eagles projects to have another great season as Jalen Hurts’ second receiving option, but fantasy football draft rankings tell a different story. Using legal sports betting odds can help fantasy football players gain an edge in their drafts for the upcoming 2024-2025 NFL season.

Smith finished last season as the WR20, surpassing 1,000 receiving yards (1,066) for the second consecutive season on 81 receptions and seven receiving touchdowns. He projects to have similar success this upcoming season, but fantasy rankings haven’t caught up with Smith’s betting projections.

DeVonta Smith Regular Season Receiving Yards Prop

Over 1050.5 Yards -105
Under 1050.5 Yards -125

Smith’s 1,050 receiving yards projection at legal NFL betting apps is the same as WR9 Chris Olave, WR12 Mike Evans, and WR13 Marvin Harrison Jr. despite being ranked as the WR 21. Smith offers great value as a WR2 that can put up WR1 numbers in fantasy football this season.

If he’s projected to have more receiving yards than higher ranked receivers like Davante Adams (WR 10) and DK Metcalf (WR17), Smith must not be projected to get a bunch of touchdowns, right? Actually, the fourth-year Eagles receiver projects for 6.5 receiving touchdowns next season, the same as Metcalf and Adams.

DeVonta Smith Regular Season Receiving TDs Prop

Over 6.5 TDs -105
Under 6.5 TDs -125

Smith has the same receiving touchdowns projection as WR7 Puka Nacua, who has +105 odds to go over 6.5 TDs this season. Getting first-round receiver production out of a guy who’s current average draft position (ADP) is in the mid-40s and most available in the fourth round is incredible value.

Jaylen Waddle (WR23) In Similar Value Position As DeVonta Smith

Many fantasy players are scared to take Jaylen Waddle for the same reason they don’t want to take DeVonta Smith; they’re the second option behind a top fantasy receiver. That’s why Waddle ranks as the WR 23 according to ESPN WR rankings, but his numbers prove he’s a valuable fourth-round pick similar to Smith based on season projections.

Jaylen Waddle Season Receiving Yards Prop

Over 1000.5 Yards -120
Under 1000.5 Yards -110

Waddle is favored to surpass 1,000.5 receiving yards this season at -120 odds, which is the same or a greater projection than Davante Adams (WR10), Nico Collins (WR15), DK Metcalf (WR17), DJ Moore (WR19), Brandon Aiyuk (WR20), and Stefon Diggs (WR22). The Miami Dolphins receiver projects for 5.5 touchdowns and 81 receptions this season at Florida sports betting sites despite being in Tyreek Hill’s shadow.

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Zachary Kelley

Zach graduated from Florida State University with a degree in Writing, Editing, and Media. Zach is interested in the legalization aspect of sports betting and enjoys participating in DFS. He has a passion for sports writing and most enjoys writing about football and baseball both professional and collegiate.