Best Thursday Night Football Prop Bets: Bills at Patriots

• Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills have won four of their past five games against the New England Patriots and are the best team to focus on when betting on player props at legal sportsbooks.
• Bovada is offering many different strong player prop bets on the Bills, with the best bet on the over for combined receiving yards by Stefon Diggs, Gabriel Davis, and Dawson Knox.

BOSTON – The New England Patriots host the Buffalo Bills on Thursday Night Football in a game that will mark just the 21st time that the Bill Belichick-led team will be a home underdog.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Betting Odds

Team:	Spread:	Moneyline:	Total:
Buffalo Bills	-4.0 (-110)	-210	O43.5 (-110)
New England Patriots	+4.0 (-110)	175	U43.5 (-110)

Belichick has an 11-9 record straight up as a home dog with the Patriots, meaning many bettors may just take New England moneyline with +175 odds at NFL sportsbooks.

It may be wiser to bet on player props in the AFC East match up though, as the Josh Allen-led Bills have taken four of the past five against the Patriots.

Best Player Prop Bets on the Bills

Buffalo has passed the ball the sixth most times in the NFL this season while rushing the ball the 17th most times.

With a clear passing lean for the league’s second highest scoring team this season, some of the best player prop bets on the Bills against the Patriots include:

• Josh Allen Prop Special at Bovada (Over 227.5 Passing Yards and at least One Interceptions: +190): Josh Allen entered the season as the favorite to win NFL MVP and has fallen back to fourth on odds boards for one reason: he continues to turn the ball over. Allen has thrown an interception in 7/11 games this season. Combine with him having passed for more than 227.5 yards in 7/11 games as well, and players get +190 value on a bet that has a strong chance of hitting. This Bovada special would have hit in two of Allen’s past three games.
• Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards (Over 81.5 Receiving Yards: -113): Third in the NFL in total receiving yards (1110) and in receiving yards per game (100.9), bettors at Bovada get a discount of nearly 20 yards on the Stefon Diggs receiving yards prop bet. Diggs has gone over this total in seven games this season and has gone over this total in three of his four regular-season games against the Pats as a member of the Bills. Over those four games, the only time he went under was during last season’s matchup that had 40 mph winds.

One other particularly interesting player prop is available at Bovada, with players getting the opportunity to bet on the combined receiving yards of Diggs, Gabriel Davis, and Dawson Knox.

Betting on Stefon Diggs, Gabriel Davis, and Dawson Knox

The trio averages a combined 189.3 yards per game with Bovada offering many versions of that bet with the players going well over and well below that total at their legal sportsbook.

Betting odds are shown below based on yardages, with the number of games that the Buffalo Bills trio of pass catchers has gone over that total also included:

• Over 150+ Receiving Yards(-160): 8X
• Over 175+ Receiving Yards(+115): 6X
• Over 200+ Receiving Yards(+225): 4X
• Over 225+ Receiving Yards(+350): 3X
• Over 250+ Receiving Yards(+600): 3X
• Over 275+ Receiving Yards(+1000): 1X

Buffalo has played 11 games this season, and nine with Diggs, Knox, and Davis healthy. Despite that, they have gone over 175+ yards in more than half of their games.

Taking Stefon Diggs, Dawson Knox, and Gabriel Davis to go over 175+ yards is likely the best bet for Thursday Night Football at Bovada with +115 odds, with bets on the trio to combine for even more yards than that also representing strong options.

News tags: Bill Belichick | Bovada | Buffalo Bills | Dawson Knox | football | Gabriel Davis | Josh Allen | New England Patriots | NFL | Stefon Diggs