Brian Robinson Jr. - Bucky Irving - Zach Ertz

  • The Bucs allowed the fourth least rushing yards per game this season and Brian Robinson Jr. has -115 odds to record under 47.5 yards.
  • The Commanders have allowed the third most rushing YPG this season and Bucky Irving has -115 odds to go over 87.5 at home for Tampa.
  • Take Zach Ertz to have over 38.5 receiving yards in his first playoff game since 2021 against a not-great Tampa passing defense.

TAMPA BAY, Fla. – The Tampa Bay Bucs are hosting the Washington Commanders as three-point favorites in Wild Card Weekend. The Commanders have played much better at home this season and face one of the best defenses against the run in Tampa this week.

The Bucs’ defense, led by Vita Vea, finished the regular season with the fourth least rushing yards allowed per game and closed the season only allowing 44.7 rushing yards over the last three games.

Brian Robinson Jr. Under 47.5 Rushing Yards

If the Commanders are playing from behind, the under on Brian Robinson Jr.’s rushing yards is one of the best offered for legal NFL betting this week. Robinson Jr. has eight games this season with over 50 rushing yards but finished the first game of the season against the Bucs with only 40 on 12 carries.

Washington on the other hand, has allowed the third most rushing yards per game in the NFL with 137.5. On the road, Commanders have allowed over 150 rushing yards per game.

Bucky Irving Over 87.5 Rushing Yards

Bucky Irving started his NFL career against the Washington Commanders in the first week of the 2024-25 NFL season. Irving earned every snap he received in that game, finishing as the leading rusher at 62 yards on only nine carries. Rachaad White finished with 31 yards on 15 carries.

While it has been slow developing, Bucky has now cemented himself as the number one back in Tampa and is expected by legal sports betting sites to get the majority of carries against Washington.

Over the last four games, Irving has averaged 17.5 carries per game and 96.75 rushing yards per game.

Zach Ertz Over 38.5 Receiving Yards -115

The Tampa Bay Bucs have allowed the fourth most passing yards to opposing teams this year and Zach Ertz is positioned to have a big game. This is the tight end’s first time in the postseason since 2021 and has a great matchup.

Opposing tight ends have cleared this line against the Bucs in four of their last five games, with Michael Mayer and Brock Bowers each with 45+ receiving yards in Tampa Bay a few weeks ago.

Ertz finished with 28 yards on three receptions in the first matchup between these two teams but has seen his production increase every week throughout the season.

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