Bet On Jaguars To Cover Vs Texans Say NFL Betting Trends

• The Jacksonville Jaguars are six-point underdogs against the Houston Texans in Sunday’s contest.
• A rough offensive start for Jacksonville could have their offensive prop bets too low.

HOUSTON – Both the Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans find themselves in unfamiliar territory – a spread of a touchdown.

While the Texans are home favorites of a touchdown for the second time this season (Chicago, Week 1), before this year, they’ve been six to eight-point favorites five times since 2019.

Winning only three of them, they’ve covered in only one. That solo cover was against the Jaguars (Oct 11, 2020) but this was pre-Trevor Lawrence and pre-C.J. Stroud.

Come forward, and the Texans are 1-4-1 straight up at home against divisional opponents since the start of the 2022 season. With the under hitting in five, it will come down to the Houston offense to win the game.

Trevor Lawrence Trends

Lawrence has been a touchdown underdog on the road twice in his career – weeks 3 and 4 in 2022.

Opponent (Result)	Cover?	Over/Under?	Stats
at LA Chargers (W 38-10)	Yes	Over	262 yards, 3 TDs
at PHI Eagles (L 29-21)	No	Over	174 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 4 Fumbles lost

He has the support behind him with Jacksonville winning and covering in four of the last five games on the road within the division. This includes last year when he went into Houston and covered as a one-point favorite.

With this, all signs say to take Jacksonville +6.

Best Bets On The Jaguars

There are also props at NFL betting sites to think about.

Total Points – Jacksonville Jaguars

• Over 19.5 -110
• Under 19.5 -110

While the Jaguars have broken 20 in only one of their last seven games, their previous 18 games saw them hit it 14 times.

Total Receiving Yards – Brian Thomas (JAX)

• Over 45.5 -115
• Under 45.5 -115

Hitting 47+ in all three NFL games the rookie has played, this Brian Thomas prop bet could be a trap.

Either way, the over looks like a nice play. With six targets in the first half against the Bills, five targets in the first half against the Dolphins, and a late-third-quarter 66-yard bomb against the Browns, getting him involved has clearly been the goal.

Add in another 40 yards he gave the offense from a defensive PI penalty and Thomas’ solid numbers could be much higher.

Total Rush Attempts – Travis Etienne (JAX)

• Over 13.5 -115
• Under 13.5 -105

With shading on the over, taking the more expensive legal sports betting odds seems right. Some trends point against this but looking deeper into the data is imperative. Against the Dolphins (12 carries), Travis Etienne only saw two touches in the fourth quarter, despite the Jags holding the lead for the majority of the quarter. But, he fumbled on the goal line earlier in the game, switching all momentum.

Against the Browns (13 carries), Etienne was invisible in the fourth (because of the score) but saw real action (5 carries) within the red zone. As for the Bills, Etienne had only 11 carries. But whether the score was 6-0, 20-3, or 40-10, Etienne was getting about two touches a drive.

Best Bets On The Texans

Those looking at legal Texas sportsbooks online can find value as well even if the trends support the Jaguars.

Taking a flier on Nico Collins to score first (+700) can be fun, but a hard one to hit. Still, Nico has scored in five of his last nine regular season games played, where he’s averaging six catches for 104 yards.

Collins was the first player to score in the Bears game this year, the first Texan to score against the Browns in the playoffs last season, and the first to score in Week 18 against the Colts last year.

Looking for a safer bet? Consider this Nico Collins player prop of scoring a touchdown and Houston winning at +125 odds.

Will Anderson Player Props

• 1+ Sack -105

With 2.5 sacks in his last two games, betting on Will Anderson III was a great investment for those rookie of the year supporters last year. At 6.5 sacks over his last seven games, there’s no reason not to try a small risk here, especially when you know Trevor Lawrence has been sacked at least three times each game this year.

News tags: Brian Thomas | C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans | Jacksonville Jaguars | NFL | Nico Collins | Travis Etienne | Trevor Lawrence | Will Anderson