Wild Card Weekend - Broncos Vs Bills

  • Opening lines favor the Buffalo Bills by 8.5 against the Denver Broncos in the Wild Card round of the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs.
  • Denver has gone 4-5 this season ATS as the underdog and the Bills have gone 5-3 ATS as home favorites this season.
  • Both teams are in the top ten for most points scored per game this year and the over for this matchup is set at 47.0

BUFFALO, N.Y.Wild Card Weekend matchups are set and opening lines heavily favor the Buffalo Bills over the Denver Broncos. Denver clinched their spot in the 2024-25 postseason after shutting out the KC Chiefs backups in week 18.

  • Moneyline: Broncos +345/Bills -470
  • Spread: Broncos +8.5/Bills -8.5
  • Total: Over 47.0/Under 47.0

Bet On The Experienced QB

While Bo Nix has been very impressive this year (second-best ROY odds), Josh Allen is one of the most experienced playoff quarterbacks in the AFC. He has led the Bills to six straight playoff appearances. In those six years, Buffalo has gone 3-7 ATS but is positioned to dominate at home.

Since 2020, the Bills have covered the spread in over 55% of their games at home which is the sixth-best in the NFL. This season, Buffalo is 10-7 ATS and 5-3 ATS as the favorite at home.

This is the first time that the Broncos have made the postseason since the 2015 season which ended with Peyton Manning winning his second Super Bowl.

This season, Denver has struggled as the underdogs at legal sports betting sites. The Broncos are 2-7 as underdogs this season straight up and 4-5 ATS.

While the future is bright in Denver, take the Bills to cover and move on to the Divisional Round.

Take The Over (47.0)

Both the Broncos and the Bills finished the 2024-25 season in the top ten for most points scored. Buffalo finished with the second most points scored per game averaging over 30.

On that same note, the over has hit in 64.7% of the Bills games (11-6 record) and 62.5% of games for the Broncos (10-6-1).

Another great NFL betting prop for this matchup in correlation with the over is for the Bills to score over 27.5 points (-135 at Bovada)

Before shutting out the Chiefs in week 18 (Kansas City rested starters), the Broncos had allowed their opponents to score 30 more points in three of their last four games. The Buffalo Bills have scored at least 30 points in 12 games this season.

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