Betting on the G-Men to Upset the Vikings in the Playoffs

• The New York Giants are 3-point underdogs versus the Minnesota Vikings at Bovada.
• New York has experienced a lot of success against non-NFC teams against the spread and as an underdog straight up.
• Taking the Giants +3.0 may be safe, but bets on the moneyline at +140 may payoff with more value.

MINNEAPOLIS – The Minnesota Vikings are a field goal favorite over the visiting New York Giants at Bovada when the two teams face off in the first round of the NFL Playoffs on Sunday.

Despite their underdog status, the Giants may be a better bet to win than the Vikings.

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants Odds

Team:	Spread:	Moneyline:	Total:
New York Giants	+3.0 (-110)	+140	O48.0 (-110)
Minnesota Vikings	-3.0 (-110)	-165	U48.0 (-110)

Both the Vikings and Giants seem to have overperformed expectations this season, as they represent the two of the worst teams in the playoffs based on point differential.

Point Differential of Every Playoff Team

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -45
• New York Giants: -6
• Minnesota Vikings: -3
• Miami Dolphins: -2
• Seattle Seahawks: +6
• Los Angeles Chargers: +7
• Baltimore Ravens: +35
• Jacksonville Jaguars: +54
• Cincinnati Bengals: +96
• Dallas Cowboys: +125
• Kansas City Chiefs: +127
• Philadelphia Eagles: +133
• Buffalo Bills: +169
• San Francisco 49ers: +173

Those same point differentials suggest that the teams may be relatively even, with other trends suggesting the New York Giants may be as good or better than the Minnesota Vikings.

Those trends may even suggest that the New York Giants are an excellent bet at NFL betting sites to win outright as an underdog.

Betting on the New York Giants to Cover (At Least)

First and foremost, it is important to acknowledge that the Minnesota Vikings defeated the New York Giants on December 24, 2022, by a score of 24-27 (New York did cover the 4.5-point spread).

Other than that victory, every trend seems to support bets on the Giants to at least cover the spread or even win (+140 moneyline odds) against the Vikings:

• The New York Giants were an NFL-best 13-4 against the spread this season, covering in six of their last seven games.
• Even with three wins included, the Vikings have covered the spread just once in their last five games and it was against the top-overall pick-clinching Chicago Bears in Week 18.
• New York is one of just five teams this season to have an outright winning record as an underdog, going 6-5-1 overall and going 10-2 ATS overall.
• In games against the NFC East this season the Giants went 4-2 ATS, while Minnesota went 0-4 against the NFC East against the spread.
• New York’s cover percentage jumped all the way to 81.8% (9-2) against non-NFC East teams up from 66.7% against their divisional opponents.

With the Giants’ overall success as an underdog and against non-NFC East teams, betting on the Brian Dabbol/Daniel Jones combo to at least cover and possibly win may be an excellent value play at legal sports betting sites.

News tags: Bovada | Chicago Bears | Minnesota Vikings | New York Giants | NFL