Bucs Injuries Affect Falcons Betting Odds In NFC South Game

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are underdogs to the Atlanta Falcons at home for the first time since Dec 30, 2018.
• With the Falcons as 2.5-point favorites, this marks the first time since the road team was the favorite since Tom Brady played in this matchup.

TAMPA, Fla. – In divisional matchups, it’s always best to look at past meetings to see how each NFL team plays their common opponents. While injuries to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are heavily in play this go around, we can always compare the betting odds to previous matchups.

As long as we have some weight behind each trend, we can gauge which side of this legal sports betting line to take.. spoiler, take Falcons -2.5.

Compare The Total Points Projection

The over under has increased steadily since Tom Brady left Tampa Bay.

• Oct 3, 2024: O/U was 44.0 (Over hit)
• Dec 10, 2023: O/U was 41.5 (Over hit)
• Oct 22, 2023: O/U was 37.5 (Under hit)

At 45.5 points, this is the highest over under in this matchup since Brady was around. Heavy shading at NFL betting sites is on the under (-125 odds), showing bettors are playing the under here.

Still, the Falcons have averaged over 28 points scored per game over their last four, inlcuding hitting 36 or more points twice.

Compare The Hometown Underdog

It makes sense why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are underdogs at home, starting with they lost their best receivers to injury.

But this will be the first time since Brady’s Dec 5, 2021 matchup that the home team won’t be the favorite. As Atlanta has covered four of the last five since Brady left, all eyes are on the Falcons.

At -2.5, the Falcons are favored by the same amount as their October matchup against the Bucs, whey won and covered 36-30.

Compare The Anytime Touchdown Prop Bets

While Baker Mayfield is confident in his receiving core, NFL sportsbooks don’t seem to be. Still, this could indicate a play on Jalen McMillan at +200 odds to score might be a solid choice.

But, McMillan’s odds put him fourth on the Bucs side, even behind Mike Evans at +180 who is confirmed out.

Instead, look at the Falcons side, which sports a player favored to score and another right on the cusp.

Falcons Anytime Touchdown Odds

• Bijan Robinson -145
• Drake London +110

With Rachaad White as the Bucs favorite to score (+130), the odds show that sportsbooks expect the Falcons players to get in paydirt.

News tags: Atlanta Falcons | Baker Mayfield | Bijan Robinson | Drake London | Kirk Cousins | Mike Evans | NFL | Rachaad White | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Tom Brady