Comparing Chiefs 49ers Odds To Previous Meetings

• The San Francisco 49ers are favored over the Kansas City Chiefs by 1.5 points.
• Sportsbooks project a total of 47 points on the game.
• Unders on Brock Purdy might be wise based on the Niners’ reduced play calling recently.

SAN FRANCISCO – Not much has changed for Sunday betting odds between the Chiefs and 49ers. In their last meeting (Super Bowl LVIII), the San Francisco 49ers were small favorites with an over-under set at 46.5 points.

For Week 7 2024, the Niners are 1.5-point favorites on the spread and the over under for the game is at 47 points.

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Kansas City Chiefs	+1.5 (-115)	EVEN	O47.0 (-115)
San Francisco 49ers	-1.5 (-105)	-120	U47.0 (-105)

While Mahomes got the best of the Niners in the last meeting, Brock Purdy will hold the 2-0 advantage over Mahomes as the favorite at NFL betting sites when he’s the starter.

Before he took over, it was all controlled by the Chiefs. Favored in both previous matchups, they also covered by the spread drastically.

Game	Score	Spread/Total	Result
3 – Super Bowl LVIII	KC 25-22	49ers -2/46.5	KC covers/Over
2 – Week 7, 2022	KC 44-23	Chiefs -1/49	KC covers/Over
1 – Super Bowl LIV	KC 31-20	Chiefs -1.5/53	KC covers/Under

• Notes About Game 3: Super Bowl LVIII where the 49ers had a 60% win probability or more from nearly start to finish.
• Notes About Game 2: A Jimmy G start but Purdy had a garbage time drive ending with an interception in the endzone.
• Notes About Game 1: This was pre-Purdy and shouldn’t have any factor in the betting odds.

Despite Mahomes covering against the Niners in all four meetings he’s had against them, the focus may not be on him but on Brock Purdy.

Best Brock Purdy Bets Vs Chiefs

Control is what best describes Brock Purdy and in games where legal sportsbooks make the Niners home favorites of five points or less, his numbers show just that. In those five games, he’s averaged a completion percentage of 70% with seven touchdowns and two interceptions.

As these include games like his first start, a playoff matchup, and a Week 1 victory, Purdy has been tested in every style of being a less-than-TD home favorite.

Still, it’s the low volume required that California sports betting sites haven’t adjust for when betting on Brock Purdy props.

Passing Props For Brock Purdy

• Over 19.5 Completions -120
• Over 29.5 Attempts -125
• Under 19.5 Completions -110
• Under 29.5 Attempts -105

Averaging under 27 attempts per game in these matchups, Purdy only broke the 19.5-completion threshold once. Though his numbers have been high this season (20.2/30.8), the Niners have executed seven fewer plays per game in the last three weeks compared to the first three.

Expect the Niners to try and limit plays against Mahomes as well and reaching 20 of 30 could be a challenge for Mr. Irrelevant.

News tags: Brock Purdy | Kansas City Chiefs | NFL | Patrick Mahomes | San Francisco 49ers