Fade World No. 1s Alcaraz + Swiatek’s Spreads in QF Matches

Men’s No. 1 tennis player Carlos Alcaraz is a 4.5-game favorite against Tommy Paul in the ATP Toronto quarterfinals.
Women’s No. 1 Iga Swiatek is heavily favored by 5.5 games against her quarterfinals opponent Danielle Collins at WTA Montreal.
Both players’ opponents have -125 odds to cover the spread.

TORONTO – The top players in men’s and women’s tennis are heavy favorites in their quarterfinals matches. Carlos Alcaraz is a 4.5-game favorite to defeat Tommy Paul, while Iga Swiatek is favored by 5.5 games against Danielle Collins.

However, their legal sports betting spreads may be too steep based on recent performances. Carlos Alcaraz has -105 odds to cover the 4.5-game spread, with legal betting sites favoring Tommy Paul to cover against the World No. 1.

Carlos Alcaraz Vs Tommy Paul Betting Lines

Player:	Spread:	Moneyline:	Total:
Carlos Alcaraz	-4.5 (-105)	-500	O21.5 (-115)
Tommy Paul	+4.5 (-125)	+375	U21.5 (-115)

It sounds ridiculous to fade the man who hasn’t lost a tennis match since June 9, but Carlos Alcaraz failed to cover a 4.5-game spread in both matches at the National Bank Open. Meanwhile, Tommy Paul beat his first three ATP Toronto opponents by two games or better.

The two players are 1-1 in their head-to-head matches, with Tommy Paul covering a 4.5-game spread in both matches. Tommy Paul defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the 2022 National Bank Open by three games.

Paul’s victory over Alcaraz in last year’s event is enough to bet Paul’s -125 odds at legal tennis betting to cover the spread against Carlos Alcaraz.

Fatigue could also be a factor in Tommy Paul covering the 4.5-game spread, as Alcaraz’s last match took two hours and 38 minutes to complete. Tommy Paul’s last match was a quick hour and 32-minute victory by seven games against Marcos Giron.

Fade the World No.1’s Spread at WTA Montreal

Iga Swiatek is another World No. 1 worth fading in her quarterfinals match against Danielle Collins. The -550 odds at legal online sportsbooks say an underdog victory is unlikely, but Collins has value to cover the 5.5-game spread.

Iga Swiatek Vs Danielle Collins Betting Lines

Player:	Spread:	Moneyline:	Total:
Iga Swiatek	-5.5 (-105)	-550	O20.0 (-110)
Danielle Collins	+5.5 (-125)	+400	U20.0 (-120)

Iga Swiatek won each of her first two Omnium Banque Nationale matches by five games, but odds say she won’t cover a 5.5-game spread for the first time against Danielle Collins. Collins took down Swiatek by seven games at the 2022 Australian Open.

Danielle Collins dominated in three WTA Montreal matches after qualifying so far, winning by six games or more in those three matches. The -125 odds at Canada sports betting sites to cover a 5.5-game spread are worth a bet.

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Zachary Kelley

Zach graduated from Florida State University with a degree in Writing, Editing, and Media. Zach is interested in the legalization aspect of sports betting and enjoys participating in DFS. He has a passion for sports writing and most enjoys writing about football and baseball both professional and collegiate.