Ole Miss vs Duke Betting Prediction: Rebels ATS + Dart Yards

This Gator Bowl betting preview outlines that due to significant opt-outs for the Blue Devils and Lane Kiffin’s desire to run up the score to prove that the Rebels should have been in the playoffs, the best bet for Ole Miss vs Duke is on Ole Miss to cover the spread as 17-point favorites.
The best prop for Ole Miss vs Duke is for Jaxson Dart to have more than 272.5 passing yards because he consistently goes over that number and because he will play the full game.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Gator Bowl odds for the matchup tonight of Ole Miss vs Duke opened with the Rebels as 12-point favorites. Betting sites have now made the Jackson Dart-led team 17-point favorites. Despite now being three-score favorites, the best bet for the Gator Bowl is on Ole Miss to cover the spread and win big against Duke.

Gator Bowl Odds: Duke vs Ole Miss

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Duke	+17.0 (-105)	+550	O 51.0 (-110)
Ole Miss	-17.0 (-115)	-850	U 51.0 (-110)

Bet on Ole Miss to Cover the Spread vs Duke

Ole Miss has something to prove in the Gator Bowl, which is the core reason as to why they are likely to cover the ever-growing spread at college football betting sites.

Head Coach Lane Kiffin has been very vocal about his opinion that Ole Miss should have been in the College Football Playoff and is likely going to try and prove that point by winning huge in the Gator Bowl.

You guys actually meet for days and come up with these rankings?? @CFBPlayoff Do you actually watch the quality of players, teams, and road environments (we played in one of yours this year 💤) or just try and make the ACC feel relevant ?? Btw one of your teams paid us not to… https://t.co/2WZucjAQSX

— Lane Kiffin (@Lane_Kiffin) December 4, 2024

Outside of the motivation to prove the CFP committee wrong, there are multiple other reasons to bet on Ole Miss to cover the spread versus Duke in the Gator Bowl:

Duke has been a victim of the transfer portal, losing multiple important players. Most notably, the Blue Devils lost starting quarterback Maalik Murphy (2,933 passing yards with 28 total touchdowns this season) and starting running back Star Thomas (871 rushing yards with 8 total touchdowns this year) in the portal. Duke also lost their backup quarterback, Grayson Loftis, to the portal as well. Their third-string quarterback, Henry Belin IV, will start the game. Belin has started one game in his collegiate career back in 2023 when he completed four out of 12 passes for two touchdowns and one interception.
A few Ole Miss starters and key contributors (notably linebacker Chris Paul Jr., right tackle Micah Pettus, and cornerback Jadon Canady) have opted out, but the Rebels team that plays in the Gator Bowl will feature most of the top players from this season’s roster. Jaxson Dart is the most notable player who is playing. He has passed for more than 10,000 yards with 68 touchdowns during his time with the Rebels. Dart gives Ole Miss a significant advantage at the quarterback position versus Duke. Other stars such as Cayden Lee, Jordan Watkins, Walter Nolen, and Princely Umanmielen will play as well. Tre Harris, Henry Parish Jr., and Yam Banks will not play due to injury.

Bet on Jackson Dart to Go Over 272.5 Passing Yards

Despite missing star receiver Tre Harris, the best player prop for the Gator Bowl is Jackson Dart more than 272.5 passing yards.

Jackson Dart Passing Yards Prop for the Gator Bowl

Over 272.5 Yards -115
Under 272.5 Yards -115

Dart’s passing yard line being less than 280 at legal sports betting sites comes as a bit of a surprise, as the star quarterback has at least 284 yards through the air in 9 of 12 games this season.

It also appears that Dart won’t pull a Cam Ward and opt-out at halftime either. Head Coach Lane Kiffin reposted a David Polack tweet criticizing the Miami quarterback for doing just that at the Pop Tart Bowl.

Has anyone ever opted out at the halftime of a bowl game?
I can’t remember someone doing it. Cam Ward did it today at the Pop Tart Bowl.

— David Pollack (@davidpollack47) December 28, 2024

With the starting quarterback likely to play the full game, Jaxson Dart to go over 272.5 passing yards is likely the best prop for Ole Miss vs Duke.

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Brett Crown

Brett is a passionate sports writer who majored in Sport Management at Florida State University. He combines his knowledge of stats with his understanding of game theory to find the best values when sports betting. Brett enjoys golfing, playing cornhole, and hanging out by the pool when he’s not locked in watching games.