Kansas City Chiefs

  • The Kansas City Chiefs have gone 4-1 through five weeks in the last four years that they’ve won the AFC Championship.
  • The Chiefs have +475 odds to win the Super Bowl and +260 odds to win the AFC Championship.
  • Kansas City is favored in the remainder of their first five games of the season.

KANSAS CITY – The reigning back-to-back Super Bowl Champions, the Kansas City Chiefs, are laying some serious value on both their Super Bowl odds and AFC Championship odds within the first five weeks of the season.

Right now at legal sports betting sites, the Chiefs have +260 odds to win the AFC Championship and +475 odds to win Super Bowl 59.

The trend to know here is that since 2018 when Patrick Mahomes took over as QB1, the Chiefs have won four AFC Championships and three Super Bowls. In the four years that they’ve won the AFC Championship, they’ve come out of Week 5 with a 4-1 record. In the two years that they failed to win the AFC Championship, they’ve come out of Week 5 without a 4-1 record.

Record After Week 5

Record After Week 5 Record Season Result
2018 5-0 Lost In AFC Champ.
2019 4-1 Won Super Bowl
2020 4-1 Won AFC Champ., Lost Super Bowl
2021 2-3 Lost In AFC Champ.
2022 4-1 Won Super Bowl
2023 4-1 Won Super Bowl

What The Rest Of The Way Looks Like

The Chiefs started the season with a victory in Week 1 against the Baltimore Ravens and, unfortunately, for the trend, their NFL odds for the remaining four games until Week 6 are favored.

Week by Week Odds

Week Opponent Odds
Week 2 Cincinnati Bengals -6
Week 3 Atlanta Falcons -4
Week 4 Los Angeles Chargers -4
Week 5 New Orleans Saints -8

Despite the Chiefs being favored in these four games, the game to keep an eye on comes right now in Week 2 against Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals. Burrow has been Mahomes’ kryptonite as he currently boasts a 3-1 record against the Chiefs in his career. That said, if there was ever a time to fade Mahomes and the Chiefs, it should be Week 2 against Cincy.

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