Hammer the Unders: Matthew Golden and Jaydon Blue Props Offer Key Value

• Quinn Ewers Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-125): Texas’s Heisman hopeful, Quinn Ewers, is projected to throw at least two touchdowns against Michigan, a team vulnerable to big plays.
• Matthew Golden Receiving Yards Under 37 yards (-110): Golden, Texas’s breakout receiver, has been consistent when playing at home, but his road stats are less impressive.
• Jaydon Blue Anytime TD Scorer (-165): Despite only four career touchdowns, Blue is favored to find the endzone with Texas scoring more rushing touchdowns than passing in recent games.

ANN ARBOR, Mich. – On Saturday at noon, #3 Texas travels to #10 Michigan as two 1-0 teams play for more than just Week 2 bragging rights. This marquee game features Heisman candidate Quinn Ewers (+1000). As Texas likes to play quick, hitting about 75 plays a game, Michigan enjoys the slower pace, happy to barely eclipse 50.

This contrasting style will certainly play a factor in the matchup, which has Texas as a touchdown favorite, after opening as a four-point favorite early in the year.

Texas Football Odds Vs Michigan

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Texas (#3)	-7.0 (-115)	-285	O42.0 (-115)
Michigan (#10)	+7.0 (-105)	+235	U42.0 (-105)

In a game projected to have Texas win about 24-17 by legal sports betting sites, the four-five expected touchdowns will be crucial to handicap.

Matthew Golden Player Props Vs Michigan

Matthew Golden has proven to be a major factor coming in from Houston and scoring twice last week. Averaging about 4 catches per game – 3.4 in 2022 and 4.2 in 2023 – he is averaging 46 yards per game over his last nine. But remove a six and a 15-yard performance to end last season, and this number is closer to 56 yards.

The receiving total for Matthew Golden sits only at 37, but the alternate prop lines should be considered under this number. Those stuck on the over can find more expensive odds (-200) at 27 yards, while pushing the total to 49 yards comes with +119 odds.

Golden is a hometown hero in his last five home games, recording an average of 66 yards and scoring in three of them. But on the road, it’s a different story, averaging only 23 yards with only 1 TD to show for it.

The odds for Golden to score a touchdown vs Michigan are +230 at Bovada and they have him at +1100 to be the first TD scorer. But Texas is better known for their rushing TDs. With shading on the under for the game (42) and on the under for Texas’s point total (25.5), one should look elsewhere.

Isaiah Bond and Other Scorers

• Isaiah Bond was targeted seven times in the first half, scoring a TD late in the second quarter. Bond has +180 odds to score again this week – a safer bet.
• Ryan Wingo (+500) and Johntay Cook (+250) have decent paying odds to score, but saw more success when Arch Manning was under center.

The over shading on Quinn Ewers passing TD total (-125 at 1.5 TDs) could mean a connection with a wide receiver or two is likely. But, guessing which one is a major challenge.

The Rushing Attack

Instead, look for the ground game to find the endzone, as Texas runs the ball a handful of times more per game than they throw. Texas has scored at least two rushing TDs in eight of the last nine games and outscored their passing attack in four of their last seven.

But who gets the nod?

All eyes are on Jaydon Blue‘s odds to score a touchdown this week (-165), which pair well with his projection to have 86 yards.

Though he only has four career touchdowns, he’s the favored Longhorn to score a TD. Since coming on in late November last season, Blue has averaged 12 touches per game (9 rushes) and about 90 yards. However, most of this comes in the receiving game.

With legal college football betting sites putting his receiving total at only 21.5 yards, trends are firing on the over. Not only does he average over a first down per reception, but he has hit this receiving over in four of his last five games.

On the flip side, the rushing props for Jaydon Blue might be a little inflated.

Odds On Jaydon Blue Rush Yards Vs Wolverines

• Over 64.5 (-105)
• Under 64.5 (-125)

64.5 is a number he’s only hit once in the last five games, despite recording 9+ carries in four of them. Even hitting 59 and 57 yards in his last two games, the 121-yard game against Texas Tech is his only hit on the over, ever.

Blue had an even split with Jerrick Gibson, who recorded 10 attempts for 67 yards and a TD vs Colorado State. Alongside Quintrevion (Tre) Wisner, who also scored vs Colorado State, the -165 odds for Blue to score might seem too expensive to trust. Still, you’d be a fool if visiting a legal Texas online sportsbook and not taking it.

One thing is for certain, though – expect a turnover from Texas. The Longhorns have turned the ball over in eight straight games and in 12 of the last 13.

News tags: Arch Manning | Bovada | College Football | Colorado State Rams | Houston Cougars | Isaiah Bond | Jaydon Blue | Jerrick Gibson | Johntay Cook | Matthew Golden | Michigan | Michigan Wolverines | Quinn Ewers | Quintrevion | Ryan Wingo | Texas | Texas Longhorns | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Tre Wisner