Home/Away Playoff Splits Favor Miami and the Over in Game 5

• The Boston Celtics are 8-point favorites in Game 5 after avoiding elimination on Tuesday in Miami.
• Miami has beaten Boston in both games on the road, giving value to their +250 moneyline odds to win outright.
• Boston is 4-6 overall and against the spread as a home favorite in the NBA Playoffs.

BOSTON – The Boston Celtics are 8-point favorites against the Miami Heat despite being down 1-3 in the Eastern Conference Finals. Underdogs in this series are undefeated, going 4-0 against the spread and winning all four games outright.

The Miami Heat have +250 odds at legal betting sites to keep this underdog trend alive and win in Boston for a third time this series.

Eastern Conference Finals Game 5 Betting Lines

Miami has been the most profitable teams in the NBA Playoffs, covering the spread more than any other team with a 12-5 ATS record. The Heat have the most success when being counted out on the road, winning six of their eight games as a road underdog.

In NBA Playoffs games where Miami is an 8-point or more road underdog, they’ve gone on to win outright in four of those five games. The Miami Heat have great value on legal NBA betting sites at +250 to continue this trend on Thursday night.

Miami’s road playoffs success is no secret, and at time of writing, 87% of the public bet is on the Miami Heat to cover the 8-point spread. For bettors wanting to fade the public, a wiser bet would be on the over at 215.5. 84% of bets are on the under with -110 odds.

NBA Playoffs Trends Support the Over

Miami Heat totals have gone over in 10 of their last 11 road games. In the last five games between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics in Boston, the total went over in all five of those games.

The over at 215.5 has great value at -110 considering the total has gone over in each of Miami’s last five NBA Playoffs games as an underdog.