- The odds have shifted in favor of the Democrats in Nevada and Wisconsin, with both states showing improved chances for a Democratic win over the past two months.
- The odds have moved in favor of the Republicans in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, with all these states showing stronger chances for a GOP victory compared to two months ago.
- States with the closest odds are Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, where both parties are in a tight race with near-even chances of winning.
PHILADELPHIA – The swing state odds for the upcoming election have seen notable shifts over the last few weeks. Differences between legal sports betting websites like BetOnline and Bovada are giving us key insights into how public sentiment and presidential betting trends are evolving.
While Donald Trump is the favorite to win 2024, the odds were in favor of Kamala Harris just days ago.
Arizona
Bovada shows Democrats moving away from their goal (+120 to +150) while Republicans remain strong favorites, shortening from -160 to -200.
BetOnline’s odds also favor Republicans at -225, highlighting growing confidence in a Republican win here.
In one of the closest races in 2020, Arizona went blue for the first time since 1996. Before that, Harry S Truman in 1948 was the last Democrat to win. Trust the Arizona sports betting sites who know the Republicans will likely win this state.
Georgia
Similar movement is seen in Georgia, where Bovada now places Democrats at +140 (from +120) and Republicans at -185 (from -160).
BetOnline has even stronger Republican odds at -215, suggesting this state may not be getting the Blue Wave they have hoped for.
While the Dems could win the state in back-to-back elections, Georgia sports betting sites known the Republicans have received 49% or more of the vote in the last six elections.
Michigan
A battleground to watch, Michigan hasn’t moved as much in favor of Donald Trump as he would have hoped. Bovada’s odds have Democrats favored at -130, with Republicans at +100 – the same as it was two months ago.
But, BetOnline lists nearly even odds (-110 Dem, -120 Rep), signaling uncertainty.
While you cannot use Bovada in Michigan, BetOnline is one of the great Michigan sportsbooks that have odds on the election. While Trump won Michigan in 2016, the Democrats have taken Michigan’s 16+ electoral votes in every other election since 1992.
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania remains one of the closest swing states, with both sportsbooks now slightly favoring Republicans. Over the past two months, Democrats have slipped from being the favorite (-130 at Bovada) to nearly even odds.
Both platforms now reflect a tightening race, but BetOnline leans more strongly toward a Republican win at -130 compared to Bovada’s -120.
Like Michigan, Bovada isn’t in Pennsylvania and the Dems have taken every election since 1992 except Trump in 2016. Still, Pennsylvania sportsbooks are a solid way to bet on potentially the closest swing state.
North Carolina
North Carolina has seen Republicans further solidify their lead. BetOnline has the GOP at -175, while Bovada shows a smaller but still significant gap at -145.
The GOP was listed at -160 at both sportsbooks weeks ago. While Democrats remain the underdogs, Bovada offers a closer contest.
Red since Ronald Reagan in 1980, North Carolina only supported blue in 2008 for Barack Obama’s first term. Odds seem to be in line at North Carolina betting sites, with the GOP seeing more favored odds.
Nevada
Nevada has experienced a swing toward Democrats, with both BetOnline (-140) and Bovada (-135) now favoring the Democratic side, compared to the nearly even odds two months ago.
With the Republicans’ chances of winning Nevada slipping away, it isn’t necessarily a state they need to win in order to win the election.
Nearly becoming a blue state, Nevada has voted for the Democrats in all four of the last elections. There is no reason to expect anything different here, even if Nevada sportsbooks online are slow to move the odds closer to the left.
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is perhaps the most fascinating state, with BetOnline offering dead-even odds at -115 for both parties. Bovada, on the other hand, still favors Democrats, but the odds have tightened significantly.
Democrats were previously heavy favorites at -170 but now stand at -135, with Republicans moving up to +105.
Blue since 1988, only Trump’s first term saw the Republicans take these 10 electoral votes. As legal Wisconsin sportsbooks bring it closer to even, past results definitely say to bet on the Democrats.
Comparing The Sportsbooks
BetOnline generally presents wider gaps, particularly in states like Arizona and Georgia, where their confidence in a Republican win is even greater than Bovada’s. Bovada, on the other hand, has shown more balanced odds in states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, where both parties’ chances are close to even.
With sportsbooks offering presidential election odds, betting on the outcome of these crucial swing states has become a highly dynamic market. Whether you want to bet on a clear favorite like Republicans in Arizona or take a chance on tighter races like Michigan, sportsbooks keep adjusting their odds less than one month out from election day.
Advertising Disclosure
In order to provide you with the best independent sports betting news and content LegalSportsBetting.com may receive a commission from partners when you make a purchase through a link on our site.
News tags: Arizona | Barack Obama | BetOnline | Bovada | Donald Trump | Georgia | Harry S Truman | Kamala Harris | Michigan | Nevada | North Carolina | Pennsylvania | Ronald Reagan | Wisconsin
After spending time scouting college basketball for Florida State University under Leonard Hamilton and the University of Alabama under Anthony Grant, Michael started writing focused on NBA content. A graduate of both schools, he now covers legal sports betting bills, sports betting revenue data, tennis betting odds, and sportsbook reviews. Michael likes to play basketball, hike, and kayak when not glued to the TV watching midlevel tennis matches.