How the Weather Should Affect Bets for the Valero Texas Open

With wind a significant hindrance on Friday afternoon, the best plays in DFS for the Valero Texas Open and in the prop betting markets for the tournament are on golfers who tee off Thursday afternoon and Friday morning.

SAN ANTONIO, Texas – Friday afternoon wind gusts at the Valero Texas Open should be influencing potential DraftKings DFS ownership for the tournament at TPC San Antonio more than it currently is. This lack of effect may give players looking for either a best bet or best top plays an edge, because the PM wave on Friday may have a very hard time scoring.

Rain is unlikely to be an issue per the National Weather Service, but the wind will be significant.

Wind at the Valero Texas Open for the First Two Rounds

Wave	Thursday AM	Thursday PM	Friday AM	Friday PM
Standard Wind	4-8 MPH	6-9 MPH	6-13 MPH	14-20 MPH
Wind Gusts	3-10 MPH	7-10 MPH	8-14 MPH	18-25 MPH

With that in mind, separating the best DFS plays and bets at legal sports betting sites for the Valero Texas Open by waves of tee times is a great way to cash in this weekend.

One wise strategy that may be best is to sort cheaper players (less than 8.0K on DraftKings) by waves. That’s because those players are typically more affected by weather/wind than the top players like Rory McIlroy at the top of the board.

Using that strategy to fade players expected to be in 10% or more lineups is the best way to gain a leg up on the field. The golfers who are expected to be in 10% or more DraftKings lineups for the Valero Texas Open and are in the AM/PM wave are:

Aaron Rai ($7,800)
Eric Cole ($7,600)
Maverick McNealy ($7,400)
Erik Van Rooyen ($7,4000)
Adam Long ($5,100)

Other Good Bets for the Valero Texas Open Based On Weather

Bovada, one of the top PGA Tour betting sites for the entire season, has released some tournament 3-ball bets and some head-to-head tournament matchups.

These bets for the Valero Texas Open allow users to bet on who will have the best tournament finish out of three golfers (3-ball) or head-to-head.

Given the weather advantage for golfers who tee off Thursday afternoon and then Friday morning (AM/PM wave) instead of Thursday night and Friday afternoon (PM/AM), some of the best bets for the tournament include:

Hideki Matsuyama +160 (PM/AM) over Max Homa and Collin Morikawa (Both AM/PM)
Rory McIlroy +140 (PM/AM) over Ludvig Aberg and Corey Conner (Both AM/PM)
Keith Mitchell -105 (PM/AM) over Eric Cole (AM/PM)

Bet On The Valero Texas Open at Bovada!

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Brett Crown

Brett is a passionate sports writer who majored in Sport Management at Florida State University. He combines his knowledge of stats with his understanding of game theory to find the best values when sports betting. Brett enjoys golfing, playing cornhole, and hanging out by the pool when he’s not locked in watching games.