Indian Wells WTA Semifinals: Bet on Mirra Andreeva Breakout

• Mirra Andreeva (+145) looks to extend her Cinderella run at Indian Wells but faces tournament favorite Iga Swiatek (-175) in a high-stakes semifinal.
• Andreeva stunned Swiatek in Doha and offers value as an underdog, especially if she can extend rallies and capitalize on Swiatek’s rare lapses.
• The game spread sits at Swiatek -3.0 (-120), but Andreeva’s strong baseline defense makes covering that margin no guarantee.
• In the second semifinal, Aryna Sabalenka (-220) is favored over Madison Keys (+180), with Sabalenka’s consistency making her the safer bet.

INDIAN WELLS, Calif – The WTA semifinals at Indian Wells are set, and all eyes are on 17-year-old sensation Mirra Andreeva, who continues to defy expectations. She faces a massive challenge in two-time champion Iga Swiatek.

In the other semifinal, power hitters Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys clash in what promises to be an explosive matchup.

Andreeva’s Cinderella run has been nothing short of spectacular. The young Russian has bulldozed through the draw, taking down Clara Tauson, Elena Rybakina, and Elina Svitolina without dropping a set.

Can Andreeva Beat Swiatek Again?

This is not the first time Andreeva has faced Swiatek this season. She stunned the Polish superstar in Doha just weeks ago, winning 6-3, 6-3.

That win wasn’t a fluke—Andreeva’s relentless baseline defense and improved shot-making have made her a nightmare matchup for offensive players. Her forehand has transformed into a weapon and her serve is significantly stronger this season.

WTA Betting Odds | Indian Wells Semifinal

Swiatek, however, is nearly unstoppable at Indian Wells. She hasn’t dropped a set all tournament, and her heavy topspin forehand is particularly effective on these slow courts. But Andreeva thrives in long rallies, much like Swiatek does, which could force the world No. 1 into uncomfortable territory.

If Andreeva can keep grinding, force Swiatek to go for low-percentage shots, and take advantage of any mental lapses, she has a real shot at scoring another upset.

Legal tennis betting sites expect a battle, even if Andreeva wins. A 7-5, 6-4 type of match is very possible.

• Best Bet: Andreeva to win (+145)
• Longshot Prop: Andreeva to win & Over 22.5 games (+325)

If Andreeva pulls off the win, it will be a historic moment, Mirra is already the youngest player since Maria Sharapova (2005) to reach the Indian Wells semifinals and could parlay that into the finals as well. This could be the start of a long-term rivalry between her and Swiatek.

Sabalenka vs. Keys: Power vs. Precision

The second semifinal features Aryna Sabalenka (-220) against Madison Keys (+180). Both players rely on big serves and heavy groundstrokes, but Sabalenka’s consistency has been superior this season. If Keys can keep her unforced errors in check, she has a puncher’s chance, but Sabalenka is the safer bet at legal sports betting sites.

• Betting Edge: Sabalenka to win 2-0 (-110)

News tags: Aryna Sabalenka | Clara Tauson | Elena Rybakina | Elina Svitolina | Iga Swiatek | Indian Wells | Madison Keys | Maria Sharapova | Mirra Andreeva | tennis | WTA