Lions Favored In 4th Straight vs Packers Since Rodgers Left

by | Dec 4, 2024 4:12 pm | Sports Betting | 0 comments

Lions Favored In 4th Straight vs Packers Since Rodgers Left

Lions vs Packers

  • The Green Bay Packers are three-point underdogs for Thursday Night Football.
  • This will be the highest over-under (51.5 points) for NFL Week 14 and for the matchup since 2020.

DETROIT – The Detroit Lions play host to the Green Bay Packers for Thursday Night Football – again as the betting favorite.

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Green Bay Packers +3.0 (EVEN) +155 O51.5 (EVEN)
Detroit Lions -3.0 (-120) -180 U51.5 (-120)

This is now the fourth time in a row the Packers have been underdogs to the Lions since Aaron Rodgers left. In the 23 games where Rodgers played over 50% of snaps against the Lions, the Packers went 18-5 straight up (SU) and 13-10 against the spread (ATS).

This includes when Green Bay traveled to Detroit (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS), where they were a favorite in nine of Rodgers’ 11 full games.

But in the last three games without Rodgers, the Packers are 1-2 straight up and against the spread vs legal sports betting sites as the underdog.

Betting History: Lions v Packers (Without Rodgers)

Date Away Team Home Team Spread
November 2, 2024 Detroit 24 Green Bay 14 Detroit -2.5
November 23, 2023 Green Bay 29 Detroit 22 Detroit -8.5
September 28, 2023 Detroit 34 Green Bay 20 Detroit -2.5

Even before Rodgers left, the Packers were struggling to keep up with the Lions. The Packers have lost five of the last six with the Lions covering in five of them.

A lot of that has to do with offensive coordinator Ben Johnson. Since taking over in 2022, the Lions have ranked top five in points, yards, and rushing touchdowns each year. And Jared Goff has seen the most success because of it.

In games with Goff under center as a 3-point (or less) home favorite, the Lions are 4-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS. Averaging just under 30 points per game (29.5), it’s almost impossible to slow them down.

Compare that with Jordan Love as a 3-point or less underdog on the road and figuring out which side of the line to take becomes a little more obvious.

  • Packers are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS.
  • They average 23.3 points per game.

Still, anyone can win this NFC North matchup, as the 51.5 points projection is the highest NFL betting line of the week. Also, at 51.5, it is highest over under in this matchup since Dec 13, 2020.

  1. Best Bet: Detroit -3. The Lions have only let three opponents score more than 20 on them this year (Week 4 Seahawks, Week 7 Vikings, Week 10 Texans).
  2. More Advanced: Take the Packers moneyline and look to hedge (Detroit moneyline) immediately. The Packers have scored on their opening drive in all three games since their Week 10 bye.
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