Miami vs Florida State Preview: Where to Bet and Best Bets

• There are many ways to bet on Miami vs Florida State, with bettors getting the best odds when using multiple sportsbooks.
• Based on the betting history for the rivalry, it is best to avoid betting on the spread given its unpredictable nature. Instead of the spread, the best bets for
• FSU vs Miami are on the under, Ja’khi Douglas, and Mark Fletcher.

MIAMI GARDENS, Fla. – Rivalry games like the one this weekend between Florida State and Miami bring out a lot of passion and drive many people to bet on the game.

Luckily, there are many great legal sports betting sites for the Miami vs Florida State game with a few bets standing out for the rivalry.

Where To Bet On Miami vs Florida State

There are many ways to bet on Miami vs Florida State on Saturday, with bettors able to use the locally regulated Hard Rock Sportsbook or internationally-based betting sites like Bovada.

In fact, it may be in the best interest of bettors to use both Bovada and Hard Rock Sportsbook in order to secure the best value for their bets. That’s because the legal Florida sports betting sites offer slightly different odds for the game. A few examples of that are:

• Bovada is a better option for betting on Florida State to outright win, offering +850 odds on the moneyline instead of +800 odds at Hard Rock. If bettors would instead rather bet on the Noles to cover, Hard Rock is a better option with a +21.5 spread for Mike Norvell’s squad with -115 odds. At Bovada, FSU would have to cover a +21.0 spread, which pays bettors with -110 odds.
• If bettors are keener to bet on Cam Ward and the rest of the Hurricanes to simply outright win, Hard Rock with -1500 odds is a superior option to Bovada. But, Bovada has made Miami a 21.0-point favorite against Florida State, which is a better bet on the spread than with the Hard Rock Sportsbook which has Miami as a 21.5-point favorite. That 0.5-point hook could be important as it’s the difference between a push and loss if Miami wins by three touchdowns.
• Two other notable differences between Hard Rock and Bovada that fall under the same category, which is sportsbook rules. Bovada offers player props for the rivalry game and accepts 18+ bettors, while Hard Rock Sportsbook is required by Florida law to not offer CFB player props and to only accept 21+ bettors.

Avoid the Miami vs Florida State Spread

When creating a betting preview for Florida State vs Miami, the first thing that stands out in the rivalry is the overall unpredictability when betting on either team against the spread.

In the past 22 games between FSU and UM, both teams have covered at a 50% rate (11-11 ATS). Many times larger sample sizes in betting trends work out about 50% simply based on the volume of games and the nature of spreads. Those trends may feature many runs that just happen to work out to 50/50 over time.

In FSU vs Miami games, those runs have been practically non-existent. Going back 22 games in sets of two, both Miami and FSU are exactly even. For example, in the last four FSU UM games, both teams covered the spread 50% of the time.

That 50% cover rate for each team at each two-game interval suggests that the best bet for Miami vs Florida State may be to totally avoid the spread.

Best Bets For Miami vs FSU

• Take the Under: Based on rivalry history, the real best bet for Miami vs FSU is on the under. In 11 of the past 13 games between the two programs, the under has hit. Both Bovada and Hard Rock Sportsbook have the total set at 54.5 points. Bovada is a better option for the under with -105 odds compared to the -110 odds at Hard Rock.
• Ja’khi Douglas Over 40.5 Receiving Yards: Despite a terrible offense and spotty quarterback play through seven games this season, Ja’khi Douglas has had over 40.5 five times. Douglas also went over 40.5 yards last season versus Miami when he finished with 69 yards on three catches.
• Mark Fletcher Over 49.5 Rushing Yards: Mark Fletcher is part of a committee of Miami running backs, which often makes bettors scared to bet on any of them at college football betting sites. That should not be the case here. Fletcher has 73+ yards in back-to-back games and Florida State has given up at least 88 yards to a single running back in its last three games.

News tags: Bovada | Cam Ward | College Football | Florida | Florida State | Hard Rock Sportsbook | Ja'Khi Douglas | Mark Fletcher | Miami