- Tennessee is the best bet to win the Midwest region of brackets for March Madness with +350 odds at Bovada based on a relatively weak path of likely opponents before they reach the Elite Eight.
PROVIDENCE, R.I. – Odds to win the Midwest region and reach the Final Four are live at Bovada, with the sports betting site making number one seed Houston the favorite with +130 odds.
The best bet to win the Midwest is not Houston, but Tennessee with +350 odds.
Bet on Tennessee to Win the Midwest
The logic behind taking Tennessee to win the Midwest at March Madness betting sites is fairly simple. They have the easiest path to reach the Elite Eight based on the rankings of their likely opponents based on AP Poll results and KenPom rankings.
| Team | Seed | KenPom Rank | AP Rank | Midwest Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 1 | 3 | 2 | +130 |
| Tennessee | 2 | 5 | 6 | +350 |
| Gonzaga | 8 | 9 | 24 | +900 |
| Kentucky | 3 | 16 | 18 | +900 |
| Illinois | 6 | 20 | NR | +1100 |
| Clemson | 5 | 18 | 12 | +1200 |
| Purdue | 4 | 19 | 22 | +1400 |
| UCLA | 7 | 27 | NR | +2500 |
| Georgia | 9 | 34 | NR | +3300 |
| McNeese State | 12 | 59 | NR | +10000 |
| Texas | 11 | 44 | NR | +10000 |
| Utah State | 10 | 52 | NR | +10000 |
| Xavier | 11 | 43 | NR | +10000 |
| High Point | 13 | 84 | NR | +15000 |
| Troy | 14 | 98 | NR | +25000 |
| SIU Edwardsville | 16 | 217 | NR | +50000 |
| Wofford | 15 | 120 | NR | +50000 |
There are six teams in the Midwest ranked in the AP Poll and four of them are in the top portion of the region.
Based on odds and rankings, it is likely that top-seeded Houston will have to face Gonzaga in the Round of 32, and then either Clemson or Purdue in the Sweet 16.
Gonzaga, Clemson, and Purdue are all ranked in the top 25 of both the AP Poll and KenPom rankings. That makes for a very difficult path for the favorite, Houston.
On the other hand, Tennessee’s path is relatively weak to reach the Elite Eight and a good bet at legal sports betting sites to make it to the Final Four in San Antonio.
The only team that they could possibly play that is ranked inside the top 25 of both rankings before reaching the Elite Eight is Kentucky. The Wildcats are the weakest three seed in the bracket per KenPom.
The significantly easier schedule for Tennessee compared to any other team in the Midwest makes them the best bet to win the region with +350 odds.
Those relatively long odds for a team that is likely to make the Elite Eight at the bare minimum also means that people who bet on the Volunteers to make it to the Final Four at college basketball online betting sites will also be able to easily hedge their bets against their opponent in the Elite Eight.
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News tags: Clemson | College Basketball | Georgia | Gonzaga | High Point | Houston | Illinois | Kentucky | March Madness | McNeese State | Purdue | SIU Edwardsville | Tennessee | Texas | Troy | UCLA | Utah State | Wofford | Xavier
Brett is a passionate sports writer who majored in Sport Management at Florida State University. He combines his knowledge of stats with his understanding of game theory to find the best values when sports betting. Brett enjoys golfing, playing cornhole, and hanging out by the pool when he’s not locked in watching games.
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