MLB Best Bets Of The Day – 09/20/2021

• The Washington Nationals are (-110) on the moneyline against the Miami Marlins (-110).
• The Texas Rangers have (+125) odds to cover the +1.5 runline against the New York Yankees.
• The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates game has a betting total of 9.5 runs with the UNDER being a slight favorite.

MIAMI – The MLB slate is loaded with betting opportunities on Monday. The Washington Nationals, Texas Rangers, Cincinnati Reds, and Pittsburgh Pirates all have value for sports bettors to take advantage of.

Washington Nationals Vs. Miami Marlins

The Miami Marlins will host the Washington Nationals on Monday night and while the regulated sports betting sites may list the game as a pick ‘em, the Nationals could be in a much better spot to earn a win.

Over the last 30 days, the Marlins are the second-worst in wOBA (.278), wRC+ (77), SLG (.354), and are also in the bottom five for BA (.221) and OBP (.287). The Nationals are in the top half of the league in all of these categories. Plus, the Washington offense will be facing Jesus Luzardo, who has a 6.80 ERA on the season.

The game will begin at 6:40 p.m. EST with coverage on MLB.TV.

Texas Rangers Vs. New York Yankees

Sometimes sports betting can be a matter of wagering on something that’s more likely than the odds suggest rather than betting on what will likely happen. That’s the case for the game between the New York Yankees and the Texas Rangers.

The Yankees and Rangers are No. 17 and No. 18 in wOBA over the last month and No. 15 and No. 17 in wRC+. The Yankees have a sizable advantage in SLG, but a major disadvantage in BA and OBP. MLB betting sites seem to undervalue the lack of disparity between the two offenses.

These teams are simply too similar for either to be (-270) on the moneyline, which the Yankees are, and getting a plus-value on the runline seems too valuable to miss out on. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EST Monday night with coverage on MLB.TV.

Cincinnati Reds Vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Neither the Cincinnati Reds nor the Pittsburgh Pirates have been too hot at the plate over the last month. The Reds are in the bottom five in wOBA, wRC+, BA, OBP, and SLG, while the Pirates are in the bottom 10 for each category. However, online sportsbooks are still giving the game a total of nearly 10 runs.

The pitching matchup isn’t necessarily favorable but Dillon Peters, the Pirates’ starter, does have a 2.66 ERA in his small sample size this year. Vladimir Gutierrez has a 4.25 ERA through 108.0 innings and despite his struggles, he should be able to limit the damage against such a bad offensive team.

The game begins at 6:40 p.m. EST and will be broadcast on MLB.TV.

News tags: Cincinnati Reds | Miami Marlins | MLB | New York Yankees | Pittsburgh Pirates | Texas Rangers | Washington Nationals