- Bovada is offering a Robert F. Kennedy Jr. presidential betting odds special for how much of the popular vote he will win.
- The best bet is for RFK Jr. to finish with between 1% and 1.99% of the popular vote with +430 odds.
WASHINGTON – Robert F. Kennedy Jr. betting odds at Bovada have been released days before the election. The popular political betting site has put up a new section titled “RFK Jr Specials” with one bet available. That bet is on what Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s popular vote share will be.
What Will RFK Jr.’s Popular Vote Share Be?
- 0.99% or less -420
- 1 to 1.99% +430
- 2 to 2.99% +2000
- 7% or more +3500
- 3 to 3.99% +5500
- 5 to 5.99% +6500
- 4 to 4.99% +8000
- 6 to 6.99% +20000
The odds currently favor the famous politician to receive less than 1% of the popular vote, but the best bet may be on Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to finish with between 1% and 2% of the vote with +430 odds.
Betting on Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Odds to Get Between 1% and 2% of the Popular Vote
A few core reasons suggest presidential election betting sites may be underestimating Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s popular vote support to be greater than 0.99% but less than 2%.
For one, Jo Jorgensen (1.2%) in 2020 and both Jill Stein (1.1%) and Gary Johnson (3.3%) in 2016 all received at least 1% of the popular vote.
That indicates a recent willingness for voters to cast their ballots in favor of independents in the United States.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is also likely to garner more than 1% of the popular vote because his name is on the ballot in 36 states. If it were up to him, he would be on the ballot in even fewer.
The Supreme Court has unfortunately today sided with the Secretary of State of Michigan and Wisconsin, both Democrats, to undermine election integrity and leave my name on the ballot in both those states. It is a purely political move in the hope that folks who would have…
— Robert F. Kennedy Jr (@RobertKennedyJr) October 29, 2024
Although it seems counterintuitive, Kennedy Jr.’s push for his supporters to instead vote for Donald Trump may help people who bet on him at legal betting sites.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is one of the most popular independent presidential candidates in recent history and would have likely garnered more than 1.99% of the vote had he still been running for his own campaign.
It all makes for the perfect storm for backers of the Robert F. Kennedy Jr. betting odds for him to finish between 1% and 1.99% of the popular vote at Bovada.
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News tags: Donald Trump | Gary Johnson | Jill Stein | Jo Jorgensen | President | Robert F Kennedy Jr.
Brett is a passionate sports writer who majored in Sport Management at Florida State University. He combines his knowledge of stats with his understanding of game theory to find the best values when sports betting. Brett enjoys golfing, playing cornhole, and hanging out by the pool when he’s not locked in watching games.