NFL Week 4 SNF Betting Trends: Kansas City Chiefs Vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Kansas City Chiefs have -105 odds over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 4.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 2-0 ATS against the Chiefs since 2020.

TAMPA, Fla. – In Week 4 of Sunday Night Football, the Kansas City Chiefs will travel south to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers where they are seen as 2.5-point road favorites. This will be the third time the two teams have met since 2020 including their 2020 Super Bowl meeting.

Although legal online betting sites do have the Chiefs slightly favored to win this one, the Buccaneers have headed in the right direction on the trends that back up their odds to win.

Kansas City Chiefs Vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Moneyline: Chiefs (-140) vs. Buccaneers (+120)
Spread: Chiefs -2.5 (-105)
Total: 45 Points

In the two meetings between the Chiefs and Buccaneers since 2020, NFL betting lines have been in favor of Kansas City both times, however, the series sits at 1-1. Also, Tampa Bay holds the advantage against the spread at 2-0.

Betting Trends To Know

On the Kansas City side, since Patrick Mahomes became their QB1 in 2018, they’ve been a road team favored a total of 28 times and have held their ground on the moneyline going 22-6 S/U. However, the spread has been a different story as they’ve been floating around the .500 mark at 14-13-1 ATS, but have gone 1-3 in 2022.

Kansas City has done extremely well though when seen as a road favorite between 2-3 points going 9-1-1 ATS and 10-1 S/U since 2015. Under Mahomes, they are 4-0 S/U and 3-0-1 ATS.

As for Tampa Bay, under Tom Brady since 2020, they’ve gone 2-0 ATS when underdogs at home. Also, while they did lose to the Green Bay Packers in Week 3, sharps should take this and run as Tampa Bay has bounced back after a loss at a 7-2 record ATS since 2020 winning those games by 12.4 points on average and covering the spread by 6.7 points. They’ve also defended their home field pretty well at a 13-7 spread record and average a winning margin of 10 points with a +4 advantage on the spread.

In the historical matchup trends, all signs are leaning towards Tampa Bay. The underdog in the last six meetings has gone 5-1 ATS. Similarly, the home team has also gone 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. In the last four meetings between the two in Tampa, the Chiefs are 0-4 ATS.

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Sam Profeta

Samuel has been writing professionally for 4 years. He comes from a sports writing background where he enjoys writing mostly about basketball and football both professional and collegiate. He is a recent graduate of Florida State University where he majored in Editing, Writing and Media with a minor in Communications. During his free time, you can find him watching or playing sports as well as playing videogames and listening to music.