- Odds support Donald Trump pardoning January 6 protestors and Ross Ulbricht.
- Edward Snowden and Julian Assange have underdog odds to be pardoned but could see it happen.
- Other candidates include Diddy, Eric Adams, and Donald Trump himself.
NEW YORK – Though the 2024 election is over, sportsbooks never stop adding political bets to their betting board. The latest to hit the market is odds on who Donald Trump will pardon in his first 100 days of office.
This intriguing list could offer insight into Donald Trump’s priorities and alliances for second term as president. But as each name reflects unique political, cultural, or personal narratives, legal sports betting sites seem to include a mix of serious possibilities and long-shot wild cards to stir discussion
January 6 Protestor (-500)
Trump’s strong connection to the January 6 events makes this group a likely target for pardons, particularly if he frames them as patriots wronged by the legal system. He has repeatedly expressed sympathy for them, even suggesting in past speeches that he would consider clemency for those prosecuted.
Ross Ulbricht (-400)
The founder of the Silk Road dark web marketplace is serving a double life sentence. Ulbricht’s case has gained bipartisan attention as a symbol of excessive punishment in non-violent drug cases. Pardoning Ulbricht could appeal to libertarians and criminal justice reform advocates.
Julian Assange (+425)
The founder of WikiLeaks is facing extradition to the U.S. on espionage charges. Trump has both criticized and praised Assange in the past. A pardon could solidify his image as a champion of free speech and transparency, appealing to a segment of his base and anti-establishment supporters.
Edward Snowden (+450)
The former NSA contractor who exposed global surveillance programs is now in exile in Russia. Like Assange, Snowden is a divisive figure. Pardoning Snowden could signal a willingness to confront the intelligence community, a group Trump has had a rocky relationship with. With the recent news about a possible Trump Snowden pardon, this could be the best underdog bet on the board.
Steve Bannon (+450)
Trump’s former chief strategist was convicted of contempt of Congress for defying subpoenas related to January 6. Bannon is a key ally with deep connections to Trump’s populist movement. A pardon would reaffirm loyalty to his inner circle and his agenda. Another solid underdog play, Trump pardoned Steve Bannon in the past too.
Donald Trump Sr. (+700)
This represents a speculative possibility of Trump attempting to pardon himself for any federal charges he faces post-presidency. It’s controversial but would test the limits of executive power. Seen more as a joke at presidential betting sites, could you imagine the uproar?
Eric Adams (+700)
New York City Mayor Eric Adams is under scrutiny for alleged campaign finance violations. This would be a surprising pick, likely aimed at signaling bipartisanship or trolling Democrats. However, Trump did give solace to Adams at the Al Smith Dinner wishing him good luck.
Diddy (+1900)
Sean “Diddy” Combs, the music mogul recently accused of assault and many other transgressions in a high-profile civil lawsuit, is also on the list. Diddy’s inclusion is likely a humorous addition by legal sportsbooks, but if Trump wanted to make an unexpected cultural statement, this would be a wild card. With rumors that Diddy could “turn on Hollywood”, this is more a dream for most rather than a possibility.
Sam Bankman-Fried (+1900)
The founder of the collapsed cryptocurrency exchange FTX is facing fraud charges. Bankman-Fried’s case represents wealth, corruption, and regulatory scrutiny. A pardon could signal Trump’s disinterest in prosecuting financial scandals or a jab at establishment politics. However, the +1900 pardon odds from Trump show just how unlikely this is.
Young Thug (+1900)
The rapper facing RICO charges is linked to alleged gang activity. Like Diddy, this is likely an oddsmaker’s nod to cultural relevance. Pardoning Young Thug could resonate with younger voters or be seen as a bold move against prosecutorial overreach. Still, sportsbooks are listing this bet as a hope someone will waste their money on it.
- Note: All of these Trump pardon odds were taken from Bovada. This is exclusive to their sportsbook, though other sportsbooks may also post similar bets.
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News tags: Bovada | Diddy | Donald Trump | Edward Snowden | Eric Adams | January 6 | Julian Assange | Ross Ulbricht | Sam Bankman-Fried | Sean "Diddy" Combs | Steve Bannon | Young Thug
After spending time scouting college basketball for Florida State University under Leonard Hamilton and the University of Alabama under Anthony Grant, Michael started writing focused on NBA content. A graduate of both schools, he now covers legal sports betting bills, sports betting revenue data, tennis betting odds, and sportsbook reviews. Michael likes to play basketball, hike, and kayak when not glued to the TV watching midlevel tennis matches.