Ravens 19.5-Point Favorites in Historic NFL Betting Matchup

The Baltimore Ravens are favored by almost 20 points over the Cleveland Browns on Saturday – a new spread record for Baltimore.
As a two-touchdown or more favorite, Lamar Jackson thrives (3-0), scoring 3+ touchdowns in all three situations.

BALTIMORE – The Baltimore Ravens are entering NFL Saturday against the Cleveland Browns as a staggering 19.5-point favorite, marking one of the largest spreads in recent NFL history.

This game brings echoes of another monumental matchup from December 12, 2019, when Lamar Jackson and the Ravens were favored by 17 points against the New York Jets and covered the spread with a dominant 42-21 victory.

Betting Lines Breakdown: Ravens vs. Browns

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Cleveland Browns	+19.5 (-110)	+1000	O41.5 (-110)
Baltimore Ravens	-19.5 (-110)	-2500	U41.5 (-110)

Lamar Jackson Thrives as Heavy Favorite

When favored by two touchdowns or more, Lamar Jackson is a perfect 3-0 straight up and against the spread. His dominance in these games is undeniable:

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Lamar’s Performance
Dec. 15, 2024	NYG	BAL 35, NYG 14	-16	5 total touchdowns, 63 rushing yards
Oct. 4, 2020	WAS	BAL 31, WAS 17	-14	3 total touchdowns
Dec. 12, 2019	NYJ	BAL 42, NYJ 21	-17	5 passing touchdowns, 86 rushing yards

Baltimore has consistently delivered in these scenarios, with Jackson outpacing NFL sportsbooks by spearheading the offensive surge.

As for the Cleveland Browns, they have historically struggled in games where they were underdogs by 16 points or more, holding a dismal 0-6 record straight up and a 1-4-1 record against the spread.

Most of these games occurred in the franchise’s lean years of 1999 and 2000, but recent history hasn’t been much kinder, even being a 10-point dog less than two weeks ago. Against the Bengals, they didn’t cover and only scored six points.

The Browns’ uphill battle against Baltimore’s high-octane offense is compounded by their underwhelming record in similar matchups. So instead of parlaying the -2500 moneyline Ravens bet, look into betting props.

Lamar Jackson’s ability to score in bunches gives us legal sports betting options with short or longer odds.

Lamar Jackson Passing TDs | Over 1.5 (-135 odds)
Derrick Henry 2+ anytime TDs | Yes (+220 odds)

With Jackson and the Ravens’ propensity to cover large spreads, all eyes are on the MVP-caliber quarterback to deliver another statement performance.

As Baltimore chases the Bills and Chiefs Super Bowl odds in the AFC, this historic betting line underscores their dominance — and Cleveland’s daunting challenge ahead.

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Michael Molter

After spending time scouting college basketball for Florida State University under Leonard Hamilton and the University of Alabama under Anthony Grant, Michael started writing focused on NBA content. A graduate of both schools, he now covers legal sports betting bills, sports betting revenue data, tennis betting odds, and sportsbook reviews. Michael likes to play basketball, hike, and kayak when not glued to the TV watching midlevel tennis matches.