Reading NFL Trends For Cowboys Lions Game: What To Bet

• Dak Prescott holds the h2h advantage of Jared Goff in the regular season, leading 3-2 but Goff has one playoff win over Dak, making their meetings tied at 3-3.
• The Detroit Lions are in familiar territory as three point road dogs.
• In games where Dak Prescott is the home favorite of three or less, he’s only had one or two solid games.

DALLAS – On Sunday, the Detroit Lions take on the Dallas Cowboys, who are home underdogs by a field goal.

This is the second time this season that Texas sports betting sites have Dak as a small home underdog (Ravens, Week 3). Only having this projection behind him in seven other games, there is more to look into here.

In every game where legal sports betting sites had Dak and Cowboys as three-point dogs or less at home, he hasn’t needed to do much. With the help of his defense, running game, or kicking team, Prescott only had to win the game himself in one (Jaguars 2018 game).

As for the Detroit Lions, this is the seventh time since the start of last season that they’ve been a road favorite of 3 or fewer. Their record in those games? 5-1 SU and ATS while scoring 26.33 points and letting up an average of 21.5 points.

But what do legal NFL betting sites have as the best bets for the Cowboys and Lions game?

Trend #1

Dak Prescott has a 118.6 rating on 11 TDs and 1 INT against the Lions in his career.

• What It Says: Dak dominates. With a 68% completion percentage and an amazing TD:TO ratio, Prescott’s 5-0 record proves he’s the Lion killer.
• Missing Context: Three of those five games happened before Dan Campbell became coach of the Lions. In the two games against Dan Campbell, Dak has thrown 525 yards, 3 TDs, and 1 INT while being sacked five times.
• Bet To Take: Dak Prescott Under 25.5 completions (-110)

Trend #2

The Detroit Lions are 2-8 against the Cowboys in their last 10 games, failing to cover the spread in three of the last five.

• What It Says: The Lions can’t beat the Cowboys and struggle to cover the spread.
• Missing Context: There have been six matchups between these teams since 2015. Further, the last time the Lions were favored over the Cowboys was in 2013 when the Lions won 31-30. Even further, 10 of the last 13 meetings have been in Dallas and the Goff vs Prescott head to head sits at 3-3.
• Bet To Take: Detroit Lions -3 (-110)

Trend #3

Both the Cowboys (#15) and the Lions (#7) sport above-average offenses.

• What It Says: Taking the over at Michigan sportsbooks online could be the play, with both teams having stars on offense.
• Missing Context: The over-under is set at 52 points and only six of the last 30 games have seen the Lions with a higher game total – the under hit in all of those games but one. Likewise, the Cowboys have only seen this total or more in three of their last 30 games (with the under hitting in two).
• Bet To Take: Both teams do not score 19 or more points (+145).

*Note: This bet is a special bet only available at Bovada Sportsbook.

Trend #4

Jared Goff has recorded at least one rushing yard in three of the four games this season.

• What It Says: Goff can be mobile and get yards on the ground.
• Missing Context: Despite his eight carries this year, Goff ended the 2023 season with six carries over his last six games. In five of those games, he finished with exactly 0 yards and the sixth was -2 yards.
• Bet To Take: Jared Goff Under 0.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

News tags: Bovada | Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | Dan Campbell | Detroit Lions | Jared Goff | Michigan | NFL | Texas