Season Stats Forecasts Quiet DeVonta Smith Game by the Odds

• Receiving yard ranges for DeVonta Smith sport odds between +150 and +1200.
• Smith has been consistently underwhelming on the year when playing alongside both Dallas Goedert and Jalen Hurts.
• Out of 19 games on the year, Smith registered 50 or less yards in eight of them.

GLENDALE, Ariz. – Super Bowl LVII is set to kick off on Sunday, with players like Philadelphia Eagles receiver DeVonta Smith being given player props for his range of receiving yards. With five ranges from 50 or less up to 126 or more, season data will unveil which odds are the best to bet on.

Multiple injuries have helped Smith throughout the year, such as Goedert missing five games and Hurts missing two. Legal betting sites offer odds between +150 and +1200, with the most favored bets being the two lowest ranges.

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yard Ranges and Odds

• 50 or less +150
• 51-75 +225
• 76-100 +300
• 101-125 +650
• 126 or more +1200

Oddsmakers evidently expect a quiet game from Smith, an idea that has proven to be consistent throughout the season. This is mainly due to the Eagles’ offensive philosophy of ground-and-pound, being one of only four teams to have more run than pass plays on the year.

In addition, Goedert has largely taken Smith’s role as an underneath and intermediate receiver since returning, while A.J. Brown is the de-facto deep threat. While Smith is an extremely talented player, he may be the odd man out on a team that has a lot of great weapons and is dependent on a successful running game. His game log supports this conclusion:

DeVonta Smith Games in Each Receiving Range (With Goedert and Hurts)

• 50 or less: 8 (7)
• 51-75: 3 (2)
• 76-100: 3 (2)
• 101-125: 3 (0)
• 126 or more: 2 (1)

Clearly Smith has benefitted greatly from his five games sans Goedert (weeks 11-15) and two games with Minshew (weeks 16 and 17).

With more than triple the number of games in the 50 or less yards range than the next two closest, the logical conclusion is to take the +150 odds.

Combine this with a Kansas City Chiefs defense that is allowing the third least yards per completion at 9.2, and it would be a hard sell to imagine Smith reaching the higher end of ranges, barring a long reception or many more catches than his average.

While the +150 odds set by legal sportsbooks are far from the most profitable on such a specific prop, Smith has simply not consistently stayed within any other ranges enough to make them likely options.

On an offense that is filled to the brim with playmakers at every position and intends to run the ball as much as they can, Smith’s scarce opportunity will prove to be a weakness that can be taken advantage of for decent profit potential at +150 odds.

News tags: Dallas Goedert | Devonta Smith | Jalen Hurts | Kansas City Chiefs | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles | Super Bowl | Super Bowl 57