Super Bowl Last Play Odds Favor QB Kneel at -175 Odds

• A special request bet for the last play of the game to be a QB kneel has received -175 odds.
• Over the last 10 Super Bowls, four of them ended in a QB kneel.
• Andy Reid has been notorious for poor clock management throughout his career, but it may be overstated by fans and the media.

GLENDALE Ariz. – The Super Bowl inches closer as the Philadelphia Eagles prepare to take on the underdog Kansas City Chiefs. Sportsbooks have received special request props from bettors that make for unique and interesting wagers.

Special request bets are props not normally found on sportsbooks that bettors submit to receive odds on. Legal betting sites have published various special requests, including for the last play of the Super Bowl being a QB kneel at -175 odds.

Super Bowl History and Team Trends

Throughout the last 10 Super Bowls, the game ended on a QB kneel in four of them. One of these instances where the game did not end on a QB kneel, Super Bowl LIV (54) between the Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers, only did so because the 49ers used two timeouts on end-of-game kneels. This then made Patrick Mahomes throw a high and out of bounds pass to waste the final five seconds during fourth down, since kneeling was not a viable option.

With two powerful offenses that come into the game tied for first in the league in points scored per game, it is likely that the final play of the game will be a heroic attempt by one of the QBs to save the game with a few seconds on the line. However, it is also possible that this type of hero ball results in a turnover and a subsequent kneel.

For Eagles bettors, it appears more likely that Philadelphia will gameplan to keep the ball away from Mahomes through running down the clock and holding onto possession. This bodes well if they are winning near the end of the game and can whittle down the clock with their running game before finishing with a kneel.

The Chiefs on the other hand, tend to be more explosive and take shorter drives than the Eagles. This would likely mean that in a close game where they pull ahead via a late score as they have been known to do, the Eagles would be forced into a game-winning drive and a kneel would be unlikely save for a turnover during the final drive.

Andy Reid’s Possible Blunder

Andy Reid’s clock management has come under fire at various points in his career, and may prove to be a boon for last play QB kneel bettors. During a loss to the New England Patriots in the 2016 divisional round, Reid would waste about a minute and 20 seconds to score a 1-yard touchdown, ultimately dooming the Chiefs as the Patriots proceeded to get a first down and then kneel.

Reid’s clock management mistakes are few and far between, but are definitely costly. It may be overstated by media and fans how much this could affect the game, but it is worth knowing for bettors as a slight hint that the -175 odds are worth taking.

Legal sportsbooks have importantly only made this prop available to take with -175 odds, there is no option or odds for it to not happen. Thus, bettors can find an alright value for a bet like this to occur considering that the favored Eagles tend to be run-heavy and will consistently look to chew the clock and close out the game with a kneel before Mahomes can get the ball back.