This Justin Jefferson Prop for TNF Hits 83% of the Time in 2024

Player prop odds for Justin Jefferson favor the over (-125) on his 82.5 receiving yards prop.
Jefferson has -145 odds to go under 6.5 receptions, which hit in five of six games.
His longest reception prop stands at 26.5 yards for Thursday Night Football, hitting in 83% of games this season.

LOS ANGELES – Player props for Justin Jefferson highlight Thursday night’s matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and Los Angeles Rams. There are -125 legal sports betting odds favoring the over on Jefferson’s 82.5 receiving yards prop.

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Projection

Over 82.5 Receiving Yards: -125
Under 82.5 Receiving Yards: -105

Jefferson gets a great matchup for Thursday Night Football against the Rams, who have surrendered 120+ receiving yards to three different wide receivers this season. The Vikings star receiver fell just short of his projection last week with 81 receiving yards, but NFL betting apps anticipate a bounce back with -125 odds to go over 82.5 yards on Thursday night.

Fade Receptions, Back Jefferson Longest Reception Over 26.5 Yards

Jefferson’s 6.5-reception prop favors the under with -145 odds. He had eight receptions for 116 receiving yards in his only career game (2021) against the Rams.

Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop

Over 6.5 Receptions: +110
Under 6.5 Receptions: -145

Still, legal California sports betting odds anticipate Jefferson going under 6.5 receptions on Thursday night. He had seven receptions in Week 7 but had six or less receptions in his previous five games this season.

With Jefferson being recognized as one of the best deep-threats in the league, betting on his longest reception is a better wager than him getting more than 6.5 receptions. There are -115 legal Minnesota sports betting odds for Jefferson to record a reception longer than 26.5 yards against the Rams.

Justin Jefferson Longest Reception Prop

Over 26.5 Yards: -115
Under 26.5 Yards: -115

It’s surprising that odds don’t lean towards the over for this prop, as Jefferson had a catch longer than 26.5 yards in five of six games this season. He averages 16.1 yards per reception this season and has an average of 10.41 yards per target, an impressive stat considering he gets more than eight targets per game.

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Zachary Kelley

Zach graduated from Florida State University with a degree in Writing, Editing, and Media. Zach is interested in the legalization aspect of sports betting and enjoys participating in DFS. He has a passion for sports writing and most enjoys writing about football and baseball both professional and collegiate.