Trump Favored to Win Popular Vote After Surviving Assassination Attempt

Presidential election odds swung further in Donald Trump’s favor, as the 45th president now has -280 odds to win the U.S. Presidential election.
Joe Biden has +400 odds to earn a second term, while his vice president Kamala Harris has +1400 odds to win.
Trump’s +105 odds to win the popular vote are the shortest they’ve been since the 2024 Presidential campaign began.

WASHINGTON – Saturday’s failed assassination attempt on presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump stunned the nation, but how did it impact election odds? Trump’s powerful exit off the stage after being grazed by a bullet on his ear has moved his odds at US Presidential betting sites to win the popular vote to +105 odds.

Betting Odds For Popular Vote Winner

Donald Trump +105
Joe Biden +150
Kamala Harris +1200
Gavin Newsom +1500
Michelle Obama +1500
Robert F. Kennedy Jr +10000

Trump’s +105 odds to win the popular vote are his shortest since the presidential campaign began. His response of fist pumping and yelling “fight” while being escorted off the stage with a bloodied face was well-received on X, especially by X owner Elon Musk.

I fully endorse President Trump and hope for his rapid recovery pic.twitter.com/ZdxkF63EqF

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 13, 2024

Musk publicly endorsed Trump and compared his toughness to former president Theodore Roosevelt. The change in U.S. presidential election odds at legal sports betting sites shows Musk isn’t alone in his thoughts towards Trump.

Trump’s Presidential Odds Move To -280, Biden +400

In the heat of Trump’s New York trial back in early May, he had +110 odds to win the election while President Joe Biden had +120 odds. Notable events since – like the Presidential Debate and the failed assassination attempt – have moved U.S. Presidential Election odds heavily in Trump’s favor.

US Presidential Election Betting Odds

Donald Trump Sr. -280
Joe Biden +400
Kamala Harris +1400
Michelle Obama +4000
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. +4500
Gavin Newsom +6500
Gretchen Whitmer +6500
Hillary Clinton +10000
Nikki Haley +15000
Ron DeSantis +20000

With growing concerns over President Biden’s health and mental wellness, other Democratic fill-ins like Kamala Harris (+1400) and Michelle Obama (+4000) have risen on the betting board. Vice President Harris previously had +7500 odds to win the U.S. Presidential Election, so there’s growing momentum for her to represent the Democratic party and oppose Trump.

Advertising Disclosure

In order to provide you with the best independent sports betting news and content LegalSportsBetting.com may receive a commission from partners when you make a purchase through a link on our site.

Zachary Kelley

Zach graduated from Florida State University with a degree in Writing, Editing, and Media. Zach is interested in the legalization aspect of sports betting and enjoys participating in DFS. He has a passion for sports writing and most enjoys writing about football and baseball both professional and collegiate.