Using NFL History and Statistics for SB LVII Squares Game

• Squares Game is a unique bet that predicts the score at the end of each quarter or game using the last digit of each team’s score.
• Odds for Squares Game range from as low as +325 all the way up to +15000.
• Using historical final score data, the best values will match up with the most likely squares.

GLENDALE, Ariz. – The Super Bowl Squares Game returns with wide-ranging odds and profit potential as high as +15000. Looking through NFL score histories can help reveal the best values on the board that are most likely to happen.

Legal betting sites have listed both full game and any quarter Squares Games, with any quarter being generally lower odds though also much more likely to happen as there is four chances for a right prediction instead of one.

What NFL History Reveals

Most Common Scores in NFL History.

1. 20-17: 282
2. 27-24: 230
3. 17-14: 200
4. 23-20: 198
5. 24-17: 172
6. 13-10: 167
7. 24-21: 156
8. 17-10: 144
9. 16-13: 143
10. 24-14: 139

For final score Squares Game, the most likely outcome based on the most frequent scores would be either KC/PHI 7 PHI/KC 4 (+2200), KC/PHI 3 PHI/KC 0 (+3000/+3300), or KC/PHI 7 PHI/KC 0 (+2200). The historical trends say these are the best bets to make when playing Squares Game for the final score, but quarterly scores offer an increase to the likelihood by a lot, albeit with much less payout.

Mapping Out Most Likely Quarterly Squares

One of the biggest dangers to the Squares Game is there being too many field goals, touchdowns, or the dreaded safety and missed extra point, which would usually end up creating strange and uncommon squares. By averages, both the Eagles and Chiefs average 1.5 or less field goals per game, so for the purposes of mapping one field goal is assumed.

From here we know that likely squares will include seven and zero, as scores like 7-0, 7-10, or 17-10 could all be likely to happen in at least one quarter. Seven-zero also covers a possible second field goal being made by one team with scores like 17-20, 7-20, or 27-20 that are all statistically likely outcomes.

Four-zero (+725 or +800) would also figure to be a pretty common square with scores like 14-0, 14-10, and 24-20 all being frequent fixtures in NFL games. However, when using four as a square, it relies quite heavily on one team not scoring any early field goals, as the only realistic square using four that involves a FG is 24 points. On the year, the Chiefs have three games with no field goals, while the Eagles have four.

Ultimately, most of the stats will point to legal sportsbook favorites like KC 7 PHI 0 (+350) or PHI 7 KC 0 (+325) being the squares of choice due to the likelihood of point totals like zero, seven, 10, 17, 20, 27, etc.

Both the Chiefs and the Eagles had one game apiece in the playoffs with a quarter ending in PHI 7 SF 0 and KC 7 JAX 0. At +350 odds, KC 7 PHI 0 can be a likely Squares Game winner due to the aforementioned likelihoods, particularly in the early quarters of the game before too many touchdowns or field goals make uncommon squares prominent.