Windy Weather at the Valspar Boosts Spieth and Moore in DFS

• The weather at the Valspar Championship should influence how people play DFS and bet on the event.
• Fading golfers like Sam Burns, Justin Thomas, and Tony Finau who are among the AM/PM waves of players who will have to play through extreme winds on Friday afternoon is a good move.
• Some of the best golfers to pivot to because of the weather include Jordan Spieth and Taylor Moore.

PALM HARBOR, Fla. – The weather on Friday afternoon at the Innisbrook Copperhead course is not affecting DraftKings DFS projected ownership ahead of the Valspar Championship nearly enough, which means many bettors who are planning ahead can get an edge over their competition.

Specifically, the weather in the Hillsborough County/Tampa region (where the Valspar is being played), suggests that bettors playing DFS golf or using legal sports betting sites should full fade golfers who tee off in the morning on Thursday and then the afternoon on Friday.

Per Tampa weather at forecast.weather.gov, the Friday afternoon weather will include wind gusts of up to 29 miles per hour from 1 pm until 7 pm.

That Friday afternoon weather may make the course play multiple strokes harder for the PM wave, which is why golfers who tee off Thursday afternoon and then Friday morning (aka PM/AM wave) are preferable to the Thursday morning/Friday afternoon (AM/PM wave) golfers.

Despite the clear edge for PM/AM players, the six players who are expected to clear near 20% ownership on DraftKings this week include three players from both waves.

Golfer	Wave	DK Price	Bovada Odds
Xander Schauffele	PM/AM	11200	+750
Sam Burns	AM/PM	10900	+1200
Justin Thomas	AM/PM	10400	+1400
Brian Harman	PM/AM	9800	+2000
Tony Finau	AM/PM	9300	+2800
Doug Ghim	PM/AM	8400	+4000

With high ownership and short odds despite significantly greater difficulty than golfers in the PM/AM waves, fading AM/PM players like Sam Burns, Justin Thomas, and Tony Finau at legal PGA tour betting sites like Bovada and DraftKings is a strong bet on the weather.

Good Valspar DFS Pivots based on Weather and Ownership

Pivoting off of chalky players with less-than-ideal conditions to players who have lower projected ownership and the good PM/AM wave is a strong move at the Valspar this weekend.

Two Thursday afternoon/Friday morning golfers who stand out based on the weather at the Valspar are:

• Jordan Spieth (10.2k DraftKings Salary/10%-15% ownership): Spieth has finished T3 or higher in two of his past four appearances at Valspar.
• Taylor Moore (7.8k DraftKings Salary/10%-15% ownership): Moore is the reigning champion at the Valspar Championship.

News tags: Florida | Jordan Spieth | Justin Thomas | PGA | Sam Burns | Taylor Moore | Tony Finau